The lunchtime outlook from the Storm Prediction Center says a mesoscale convective system (“MCS” – a bunch of thunderstorms moving together) “is expected to propagate southeastward into/through the central/southern Appalachians and Tennessee Valley by late evening.” That’s us!
Lunchtime Severe Weather Update – Wind/Hail/Tornado
Details on Today’s Severe Weather Threat: Wind/Hail/Tornado
Today we’ll feel high humidity and temps topping out in the low 90s, but the main concern is the possibility of severe weather this afternoon and tonight.
Before I dive into the weather models, remember: weather models are useful tools for guidance. They are not Gospel. They are often off by hours, or “wrong” altogether.
Severe Weather Possible Wednesday
This Afternoon & Tonight – Still Might Storm
We’ve already hit 90 today. We may hit 91. Keep in mind all these temps are measured in the shade.
The dew point has remained around a miserable 70. Heat indices should approach 95.
Pop Thunderstorms Are Not Going Anywhere
Today – High 91; Pop-Up Thunderstorms
Keep the umbrella handy. Pop up thunderstorms are moving all over the place this afternoon, and more storms later can’t be ruled out. Don’t mess with these storms, which are distributing lightning in and around them.
The Week Ahead
Yeah, this was also my experience.
WARNING: Some weather stuff is explained, below. If you don’t care about learning no science and just need your forecast for the next three days, I wholly respect that, here you go:
Chance of Pop Up Thunderstorms Continue; Gradually Warming
Today – High 88
For the first full day of summer, it hasn’t been so bad regarding temps or humidity.
(Editor’s Note: Humidity levels decreased this morning. Nice morning on the bicycle).
Random Pop-Up Storms; The Intern Breaks Out Some Latin
First Day Of Summer – High 87
Break out the sunblock, sunglasses, cold refreshments, pool time, beach time, and best of all — summer vacation (if you’re lucky enough to have one)!
Friday Just Like Thursday: Random Pop-Up Storms Possible
Today – High 86; Scattered Thunderstorms
There is always a positive side to every situation – the pop up thunderstorm that moved through the area really cooled things off for many of us. Much more pleasant out there if you’re feeling those cooler temps from that thunderstorm.
Rinse & Repeat Weather; The Intern Answers Follower Question
Today
(Editor’s Note: It’s been a while, so I edited in a haiku)
Dew points have been drop
ping throughout the day, Ahhhh a
little less humid.
No thunderstorms developed here this afternoon. Some boiled over in the Memphis area and in southern middle Tennessee. Tonight will be just fine, with lows in the 60s.
Pop Up Thunderstorms Next Few Days (With Explanation!)
Tonight
Very isolated, hit and miss showers/thunderstorms are possible late tonight. Don’t bet on them, though. Expect lows in the upper 60s, and winds out of the north at 5 mph.
Wednesday – High 88, Chance of an Isolated Thunderstorm