We’re looking to be in really good shape for Thursday-Sunday. Temperatures will start Thursday-Friday in the low to mid 80s, creeping up towards 90ºF by Saturday and Sunday. Humidity will also increase a bit by the weekend.
As we move closer to Thursday, the weather still appears to be pretty fantastic. Sunny skies with highs in the 80s can be expected at this point. Dew point temps will start creeping up into the weekend, but other than that things should be in great shape!
Off and on showers will continue throughout the remainder of the day. Luckily, we are not expecting a washout with any showers we see.
HRRR Loop Now Through 6 AM
The semi-bad news for this evening is that it appears the rain could very well stick around into the evening hours. If you have plans to be outside tonight (a.k.a. going downtown to watch the Preds game), bring the rain gear if you do not want to get wet.
Our NWS has their eye on the possibility of training thunderstorms overnight. So, they’ve issued this watch. We’ll keep an eye on it as well.
Thru 3:30 PM, radar estimates 1″ of rain has fallen (in yellow, below), mostly in Williamson County:
This morning, NWS-Nashville wrote “Today through late Monday…the mid-state expected to remain in deep moisture regime…with a series of upper impulses passing …and with a few weak low-level boundaries in the immediate vicinity.”
Clouds will start to push in this evening, and temperatures will fall into the lower 80s/upper 70s by 9PM.
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To quote our local NWS:
“Warm and humid. Those are the two words of the day.”
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Lucky, we have remained shower-free this far. There is still a small chance that a shower could develop given the amount of moisture present, but since none have developed so far, that chance is very small. If a shower does develop, it should quickly diminish in the early evening.
UPDATE: There are a few thunderstorms sagging southward towards Davidson County. Will these make it here? Time will tell. They are taking their sweet time. We’ll be following their progression, and post-sunset dissipation on Twitter @NashSevereWx.
So far, we have remained dry throughout the day. Hopefully this will continue through the remainder of the afternoon.
For those with evening plans, if any showers do develop, they will diminish once the sun goes down.
Showers and a few storms are expected once again on Wednesday as a frontal boundary approaches middle Tennessee. The GFS paints a picture of rain while the NAM is very shy on placing any rainfall over our area. NWS Nashville is leaning towards the chance for rain rather than not at all, and some of these showers/storms could contain gusty winds and small hail.
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