Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.

For a detailed breakdown from Charlie Neese, watch the Periscope he did at 8:30 PM tonight.

Rising Concern Over Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential

The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. SPC mostly refers to the area to our south and southeast, and although our risk here isn’t as high as it is elsewhere, it still poses a very real, but conditional and uncertain, threat. Another update is not due from the SPC until after we go to bed read more

We will approach 80° today as southern winds pump warm, moist air into Middle Tennessee.

Storms are brewing tomorrow. They could be significant, damaging storms, but the forecast has uncertainties.

Rising Concern Over Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential

The lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center said the word “outbreak.” That’s not good. Mostly, their “outbreak” reference refers to the area to our south and southeast, but they are not discounting that here. read more

Update: Will requested more cowbell in this blog post, so.

As Phil Collins Would Sing…

“…I can feel it comin’ in the air tonight…”

One more day of calm, warm weather before another severe storm maker rolls through the southeast. Today you may notice a slight breeze from the south. This is Mother Nature getting to work on hotter temps and more moisture for our area. read more

Low Risk of Severe Storms This Evening

Storms moving in tonight have a low chance of becoming severe this evening. *If* they do, large hail and damaging winds will be the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center sees this as a low end threat and has placed us in probability of 5% of hail/damaging winds. read more

Monday Rain; Rainout Appears Likely

It is going to rain Monday.

We think it’ll start in the morning.

The HRRR model predicts rain will start in the wee hours of Monday morning and last through the morning rush hour:

The GFS model agrees. It predicts a lot of rain in the morning. read more

Warmer Sunday

Surface high pressure will move east today. This means south winds and warmer temps, about 10° to 15° higher than yesterday. Some clouds will be mixed in.

Clouds increase tonight ahead of the next rain system, due tomorrow. read more

…APRIL FOOLS.

Writer’s Note:

Today is the 15th Annual Southeast Severe Storms Symposium at Mississippi State University. Caroline and I are ferociously taking notes and learning more…hopefully to provide you with better discussions and products in the future! read more

Mostly Cloudy Tonight, Plenty of Sunshine This Weekend

After the active weather pattern we’ve seen this past week, we will finally be getting a few pleasant weather days.

https://giphy.com/gifs/editingandlayout-the-office-thank-you-michael-scott-5xtDarmwsuR9sDRObyU read more

Downgraded (but still some) Risk of Severe Weather Later

Overnight, the Storm Prediction Center removed us from the “Moderate Risk” (4 of 5) and fell back to an “Enhanced Risk” (3 out of 5), and now, this morning at 8 AM, down to “Slight Risk” (2 out of 5)  for damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes today. read more

Hey y’all.

First, everyone take a deep breath. Like any good forecast, below you will find important details, nuance, and uncertainties.

Resist any tendency to panic at the details that may scare you, or ignore the things which may limit the threat. read more