No Reason To Read This Unless You Want to Read About The Will Co Shamnado

There was an almost-but-not-quite tornado yesterday in Will Co:

This was from the storm that got the Severe Thunderstorm Warning near Page HS in Will Co. There was rotation, briefly. Did it touch the ground, ehhh probably not. We talked to the NWS about it. We went out there and there was very little damage (a few trees, looked more like a severe thunderstorm). But was it a tornado? Ehhhhhhh nah. These are called “Shamnadoes.” They’re not quite tornadoes, they’re not exactly straight line winds, and they do no ratable damage that would classify them on the EF scale. They spin up superfast then fall apart just as fast. So, Shamnado. They’re “sham” tornadoes, a play on words, named after NWS-Nashville lead forecaster Sam Shamburger, who studies them. Great job by NWS on this, a Tornado Warning was unnecessary at the time, and in hindsight not issuing a tornado warning was a good decision. The Severe Thunderstorm Warning was exactly the thing to do. We’re blessed with excellent radar meteorologists here, making tough decisions about warning (or not), severe vs tornado. Good work, y’all. read more

Sorry Mom But There Is Severe Weather Potential This Afternoon

A Wind Advisory is in effect until 7 PM for 35-40 MPH wind gusts.

Radar shows thunderstorms and heavy rain sitting off to our west this morning.

It looks like it’s going to drive straight into town before lunch and waterblast away all activities. That may happen, but the HRRR model has another idea and I am here for it. read more

Dear Mom, They Were All Out of Good Weather So We Got You Rain & Storms.

A light rain shower may pass by tonight. If you’re one of the few who get one, do not worry about a rain out. Any shower will be brief. No lightning, either. The Nashville SC and Vandy games look good. read more

Active Weather This Weekend and Storms Possible On Mother’s Day

First of all… I hate the typical clip art on weather sites/apps, but I’m going to show it now because I think it give us a clue as to what to expect for the next few days.

Rain

May is our wettest month, so it’s no surprise that we’ll see plenty of water in the coming days. read more

Storms Possible This Evening, Rain Chances This Weekend Into Next Week

Two Tornadoes in Davidson County on Tuesday

Two tornadoes touched down in northern Davidson County on Tuesday morning, according to a damage survey by NWS-Nashville. The first along a W to E path just north of I-24/Joelton. The other along Lickton Pike/Old Springfield Pike/Hwy 41 just N of Goodlettsville. Both were EF-0. They both occurred within the tornado warning that had been issued and were from the same storm. The first tornado touched down, lifted, then touched down again as it moved east. read more

Brief Shot At Storms Thursday, Weekend Rain Chances

Yesterday’s Severe Weather

Numerous National Weather Service damage surveys will get going over the next few days to determine what damage was caused by tornadoes and what damage was caused by straight-line winds. The damage can look similar, especially with weak rotation as we saw yesterday. But, trained eyes will sort it out. read more

More Storms Likely By Mid/Late Afternoon

Embracing uncertainty is hard, y’all. The HRRR model was hot garbage last night. It timed the morning line well but completely missed on overnight rain. It thought there would be a lot of it, and there was none of it. read more

48 Hours: Several Rounds of Storms Possible. Some Strong or Severe.

Most of Will Co is under a Flash Flood Warning this morning.

Image

Another 1″ to 2″ is expected as rain “trains” over the area. Training rain is like a train, it runs over the same tracks. Those in the Flash Flood Warning box above are the tracks. read more

Get Your NOAA Weather Radio & Wake Me Up Apps Ready

11 years ago today the 2010 Flood was showing itself. 1 year ago tomorrow, the derecho.

For the next two nights you’ll need to have your NOAA weather radio and Wake Me Up app (StormWatchPlus) ready. You’ll need them tonight and Monday night. read more

Monday Night Severe Weather Concerns.

No rain today.

Rain Sunday. Not enough to cancel plans but if you’re outside all day you’ll get wet.

Light rain arrives around lunchtime/Nashville SC kickoff. Then more light rain later Sunday afternoon. See below HRRR model. Some models have it earlier, others later than that. read more