• Rain ✅
• Lightning very unlikely so going with a ❌
• Hail, Wind, Tornado ❌
• Flooding ❌

HRRR model (see 👇🏽) thinks ETA midnight tonight. Most of the rain gone by 7 AM, then off and on light showers after that. Side-eye all ETAs as usual. Think all rain gone by mid-afternoon Friday. Totals around a half inch, enough to rain out water intolerant rollyball fields Friday night and maybe Saturday morning. read more

Expect rain starting late Thursday night, most of it falling before sunrise Friday morning, gone by early Friday afternoon:

Lightning unlikely but briefly possible Thursday night around midnight. Nothing severe. No flooding. Rain totals about a half inch may rain out rollyballing on some fields. read more

In this blog: freezy Weds (and weekend) morning(s), rain Friday.

Hard freeze is when we get to 27°. That’ll happen tomorrow morning. Kills plants, big sad. We should hit 24° around sunrise Weds, hard freezin for a few hours before we quickly warm up to 56°. Some of us will be even colder than that. read more

Growing szn is “effectively” over. No more Frost or Freeze Warnings. We’ll freeze again this fall/winter for sure. It’s just that there will be no more official frost or freeze warnings from NWS until next fall 👇🏽 read more

BNA did not hit freezing this morning but BNA runs hot. Most dropped unburrrr1️⃣ 30°. My backyard went sub 29°. Expect a repeat Thursday morning then temps rise 👇🏽

Rain?

Tuesday Oct 25 to Weds Oct 26 begins next rain chance. Euro mean says around 0.5″ or so total by late next week. read more

BNA should hit freezing Wednesday morning.

• Your backyard will probably dip into the mid/upper 20°s around sunrise Weds morning. (BNA runs hot on cold fall/winter mornings).
• Thursday morning: also freezy.

Warm up weekend, near eighty.

No rain in sight. The Mississippi River at Memphis is at its lowest depth since 1954.

Drought isn’t just local. Much worse west. Mississippi River receiving little water. read more

• Protect plants and pipes.
• Freezing mornings Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.
• Temps should drop into the upper 20°s for most of us.
• Coldest Wednesday morning.

A Freeze Warning is in effect officially from 1 AM to 9 AM Tuesday. Coldest temps will happen around sunrise.

Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. read more

Little bit of rain coming today, meh.

• off and on and light
• about a tenth of an inch total
• “heaviest” this afternoon/earlier tonight, maybe a lightning strike or two
• I’m keeping my maybe a little soggy, so what plans, this is meh, here’s the HRRR because that’s what we do:

⚠️ Early Tuesday morning Freeze Watch . . .

Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation, and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. read more

Probably won’t rain today. Not totes sure about that but I’m keeping my outdoor plans.

• A few models think some of us will see a few light mid afternoon showers.
• Most models think no rain.
• Latest HRRR run has it all just missing us 👇🏽

Rain expected Sunday.

• Off and on.
• Average rainfall 0.1″ won’t dent our drought.
• Some areas should get more than 0.1″, others less.

• Few thunderstorms possible (more likely in the afternoon) but nothing severe.
• Meh.

Frozen Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday mornings incoming. Below chart shows lows around freezing. Most local backyards get a bit colder than official lows so expect below freezing temps 👇🏽: read more