As I sit down to write, the dewpoint is up, now 63°, step outside you’ll feel the summertime quality humidity. High dewpoints are storm fuel.

The high temp today is 86°. South winds are running 10-13 MPH, gusting under 20 MPH. Things will be quiet this morning and early this afternoon, allowing our atmosphere to destabilize. That’s not great for us, y’all. read more

First, some noon and 1 PM housekeeping:

Weather models have been struggling lately. Behold this Very Good Meteorologist:

This means the models could have one idea now, then a totally different idea three hours later. read more

The National Weather Service calls our weekend weather “unsettled” which is exactly what it is — off and on showers moving in from the west, but exactly where and when no one is exactly sure. read more

Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet?

Are we in the clear yet? Are we in the clear yet? Are we in the clear yet?

Not yet.

We asked the higher res models about Friday and here’s what we got: read more

Windy today. Not as windy as yesterday though. Dry, too, dewpoints in the thirties /applies chapstick/. Wind + Low Relative Humidity often = 🔥🔥 Fire Danger 🔥🔥 warning against outdoor burning, tossing your nicotine heaters, or other fire dangery things, lest a fire burn out of control and spread, but this is a Serious Weather Blog so I must inform you that NWS will not issue a fire statement today because: read more

Oh No Not Another Editor’s Note! You get different bloggers today through like May 10, from We The OG bloggers. The Regular Blogger needs time off to prove to college professors what we already know which is that he is very smart. read more

Overnight and before sunrise Monday a few showers may try to sneak through but meh, probs not. No big deal if they do.

Weds morning before sunrise we may see freezing temps with frost in local rural spots. read more