Ian is over there 👉🏽
Ian’s rain is all going east of us this weekend:
No rain in sight.
Our average first fall freeze is November 1.
This is not ideal. So-called “Secondary Storm Season” begins in November.
Marginal fire danger today. Gusty winds and low relative humidity may spread outdoor fires. So maybe don’t burn things today.
Ian won’t bring us wind, tornadoes, or flooding. Right now it looks like it might not bring us rain.
Morning jackets needed with lows in the 40°s. Roof frost is appearing in locations that often get way colder than the official BNA low.
Warmer this weekend as Ian moves inland.
Ian
Ian will become a major hurricane as it approaches Sarasota/City of Tampa midweek. We are not a landfalling hurricane source so follow @NHC_Atlantic and noaa.gov/ian for the latest forecasts.
Brushfires could spread.
Locate your morning jacket, fam.
Ian’s after-landfall, inland path is unknown. One set of models brings its remnants into Middle Tennessee this weekend. Rain the only impact.
Rain today should miss us.
South and east of us according to the HRRR model 👇🏽.
No promises but activities today look good.
Maybe don’t burn things tomorrow.
Where the ground is dry, when relative humidity drops, and where wind is picking up, you should not burn things. Fire loves dry ground, winds, and low relative humidity. This will be Monday, which “could bring some marginal fire danger.”
Rain is on the Saturday morning radar. This 👇🏽 is from 7:30 AM. See this for an updated image.
Some of this rain is not reaching the ground. Most of it is.
The rain is light. I’m bringing a rain jacket to rollyball fields this morning.
97° is the record high September 21 temp. We should break this record. The official forecast high is 99°.
(Some were asking if we would hit 100° but models aren’t so sure we’ll get that far over 97°. Clouds may slide over the official observation sight. The heat making ridge may be weakening just a bit).
