A Great Lakes snowstorm may spin a little rain into Middle Tennessee Tuesday – no biggie here – HRRR model below:
Mild days, cold mid week mornings – near freezing – ahead:
A big system will plow through this weekend. Here it is:
Skies clearing today. Looks pretty good.
2. Tuesday morning. Cold brief rain if the HRRR is right (model cuts off before arrival):
3. Weekend rain. Timing and “accuracy” iffy at this range. A soaker is best bet. Not sure if Saturday or Sunday or both. May involve thunderstorms but no current severe concerns. Notice those pinks and blues as the system moves away – common false flag for wintry precip. More about this system tomorrow.
Plan for off and on light showers this afternoon into tonight.
Reasoning. This was the radar as of 2:02 PM:
Rain between Savannah – Hohenwald – Lawrenceburg will get to us later today and tonight according to the HRRR model:
The Intern is on Finals Haitus until 12/8 – so like Fortnite, you get the OG for a while –
Most of the morning rain is gone — below is the radar before 10 AM this morning – we may squeeze out a few more showers this afternoon which would be NBD:
I’ll start off with good news, and that is that our drought situation has improved. It is not gone, but it has improved.
Davidson has been left with a Moderate Drought, while WillCo. is under a Severe Drought. Better than the Extreme Drought we were dealing with.
A few locations might reach 32° tonight, but other than that, we’ll take a pause on sub-freezing temps for a little while. Strong southerly flow will help our high temps reach the 60’s Thursday – Sunday.
BNA only got to a high of 43° today, which is the coolest high since March 19th earlier this year. We’ll dip down into the low 20’s again tonight, I bet a few backyards could reach the upper teens.
Subfreezing mornings Tue & Weds – hard freeze both mornings – many of us will be colder than that – coldest temps around sunrise – redboxed below are the 24° and 26° lows – then a warmup rest of the week.
Some light drizzle still moving thru the area, just enough to be slightly annoying.
Drizzle will be all gone by Monday morning as we wake up to temps below freezing, with wind chills in the low 20s.
This will be a common theme Monday – Wednesday. Thursday high temps finally warm up to the 60s and they’ll stay there as we enter December.
Nice fall Saturday.
We’ll have some light rain chances Sunday.
HRRR model (above) shows two main chances for light showers, Sunday morning thru lunch, then again Sunday evening.
Rainfall totals look very low.
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