As I sit down to write, the dewpoint is up, now 63°, step outside you’ll feel the summertime quality humidity. High dewpoints are storm fuel.

The high temp today is 86°. South winds are running 10-13 MPH, gusting under 20 MPH. Things will be quiet this morning and early this afternoon, allowing our atmosphere to destabilize. That’s not great for us, y’all. read more

First, some noon and 1 PM housekeeping:

Weather models have been struggling lately. Behold this Very Good Meteorologist:

This means the models could have one idea now, then a totally different idea three hours later. read more

The National Weather Service calls our weekend weather “unsettled” which is exactly what it is — off and on showers moving in from the west, but exactly where and when no one is exactly sure. read more

Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet? Are we out of the woods yet?

Are we in the clear yet? Are we in the clear yet? Are we in the clear yet?

Not yet.

We asked the higher res models about Friday and here’s what we got: read more

Windy today. Not as windy as yesterday though. Dry, too, dewpoints in the thirties /applies chapstick/. Wind + Low Relative Humidity often = 🔥🔥 Fire Danger 🔥🔥 warning against outdoor burning, tossing your nicotine heaters, or other fire dangery things, lest a fire burn out of control and spread, but this is a Serious Weather Blog so I must inform you that NWS will not issue a fire statement today because: read more

Editor’s note. This is the hardest blog I’ve ever written. And it’s not the meteorology that had me stumped. -Will

Today, winds will be similar to yesterday.

West northwest wind 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. read more

Oh No Not Another Editor’s Note! You get different bloggers today through like May 10, from We The OG bloggers. The Regular Blogger needs time off to prove to college professors what we already know which is that he is very smart. read more

Only rain chances to speak about for the next few days will be today.

HRRR model (above) thinks best timeframe for some rain will be 1-4pm. No severe weather expected but cannot rule out some lightning. read more

Sometimes the weather model trends are bad, sometimes they are good. Today they are good.

Yesterday the HRRR showed a pretty wet Saturday. That wasn’t cool. Today (above) it has changed its mind and thinks we get away with a fairly dry Saturday, maybe a quicker shower or two this afternoon. That’s cool. read more

HRRR model thinks some pop-up rain showers could impact us this afternoon. It doesn’t look like much; you may not get any rain. If you do get any rain, it’ll be like lightly stubbing your toe. The pain(rain) will come and go quick, you’ll think to yourself “wow, that’s annoying” and then your day goes on. read more