A few sprinkles are possible early Wednesday morning, but these will be NBD.
Another rain chance comes around Thursday night/Friday morning, but again these rain chances look low and light. Not rainout amounts.
After some frost this morning, there are no more chances for the foreseeable future. I don’t want to guarantee we are done for the Spring, but long-term models suggest that just might be the case. There aren’t any historical records on latest frost, but the latest freeze recorded in Nashville was April 25, 1910.
Temps will dip down into the mid 30s tonight, so NWS Nashville went ahead and issued a Frost Advisory from 1am ’til 8am Monday. Protect any loved plants.
Thankfully, we’ll warm up throughout the weekend, with a return to the 80s by the end of the week.
Few sprinkles possible here and there this weekend, but not looking like any rainouts.
High temps stuck in the 60s thru Monday, around average for this time of the year. We’ll quickly get back into the 70s by early next week.
Maybe a few sprinkles this evening, but nothing more. A little chill as the sun goes down as temps will make it down to around 50° tonight.
Maybe a stray shower or two Saturday morning, but that’ll be it as we are left with a dry rest of the day. Highs only making it to the mid 60s.
Sunday is the coolest day of the upcoming forecast, with some light rain possible in the morning. Doesn’t look like a rainout tho.
HRRR model (above) shows some light, NBD showers quickly moving in and out early Sunday morning.
Monday will be a nice sunny start to the week with highs in the upper 60s.
"A weak front will bring a small chance
for showers late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The next significant
rain chance will come late in the week. It looks like an active,
stormy pattern may form for next weekend." - NWS Nashville AFD
A couple of storms have popped up to our southwest as expected and will continue to throughout the evening. These storms could contain heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds and small hail.
The HRRR model above advertises those evening storms coming from the SW, and then a line of weakening showers/storms coming thru in the early hours of Friday morning. Model guidance has been pretty consistent with thinking this line weakens a lot before it arrives, but still could contain some strong winds, small hail, and lightning. The tornado threat is very low, but it isn’t zero.
Another very warm day is in store Thursday, high temperature expected to end up around 86°. Record high at BNA is 88°, could get close to at least tying.
Thursday evening into the overnight hours, a line of storms with heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds are expected drop down I-24, therefore nicknamed an “I-24 Special”, although it is debatable if they are actually special.
Another very warm day to add onto to our string of other very warm days.
Wednesday and Thursday will follow suit with highs in the low to mid 80s. Friday will begin a weekend of some cooler temps, with highs in the 60s for the most part.
Very warm today and tomorrow. Record high temps for BNA are 87° and 88° for today and tomorrow, respectively. Not quite sure we’ll make it to either of those, but it’ll be close.
We could see some light showers early Tuesday morning, but these will be light and NBD.
Monday looks like a great, dry spring-like day. High temperatures getting all the way into the mid 80s.
Tuesday still looks warm, but a few showers may swing around during the morning and evening hours.
There could be a few storms Tuesday night as a weakening line of storm approaches the area, but no severe concerns for our area.
That line of showers/storms should be moving out by rush hour Wednesday AM, but we could be dealing with more storm chances later in the day.
The Storm Prediction Center has included the far northern portion of Davidson Co. in a 15% chance of severe storms within 25 miles for Wednesday. This is still several days out, so a lot will change between now and then.
"Uncertainty continues on how strong or
widespread this activity may get as the upper level low weakens
while moving even further northward away from us, taking the main
upper forcing with it. Nevertheless, forecast soundings continue
to show quite favorable parameters for some strong to severe
thunderstorms ahead of the front, especially across our northwest
half, so we will have to keep a close eye on this potential." - NWS Nashville
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