Our local NWS office issues a technical forecast discussion at least twice a day. They’re filled with information, and often contain terms that are understood by the weather community, but perhaps, not many others. However, today’s discussion is perfect for just about everyone. Didn’t see much of a need to re-invent the wheel…except for maybe substituting a word or two. Read on.

From NWS Nashville re: Saturday’s Rain Chances:

We continue to look for development of a [storm complex] up to our northwest
tonight. This batch of showers and storms will make a run at us by
Saturday morning, but most of the system will break up as it
encounters dry and stable air in place across Middle Tennessee.
Still, we could have a few brief showers or sprinkles as the
remnants of the system cross the area Saturday morning and midday.
We do not expect any thunderstorms with this activity. The main
result will be some mid level clouds and very brief light showers
that should not have much if any impact on outdoor events. read more

Most of the rain we saw this morning has already moved out, with only a few showers left over. Models think all the morning activity will be gone by around lunchtime, and we get away with a dry afternoon. read more

Showers, and some storms are already moving thru the area and will continue to do so throughout the day, as illustrated below by the imperfect HRRR model.

There is a decent amount of CAPE (storm fuel) out there, but very little to no wind energy. These storms may become strong briefly, with some gusty winds and small hail, but will not be able to hold on for very long. Flash flooding potential today is low – but not zero. Slow moving storms will have the potential to drop a lot of rain in not a lot of time. read more

It’s that time of the year to start playing the Wattery. All will enter, few will win.

HRRR model suggests storms with lightning start popping up around 4 or 5 pm today, with activity slowing down after sunset. Not everyone will see rain, but those that do may have to temporarily relocate indoors and wait for the lightning to pass. read more

Low rain chances today + tomorrow.

HRRR model (above) shows some midday pop-up showers/storms possible. No severe weather expected today, or in the next 7 days.

Monday will be similar to today, more chances at pop-ups during the afternoon and evening hours. read more

Just one more day of nice weather. Cloudy start to this morning, but the sun should peek out soon. High temps in the mid 80s but low humidity so not too shabby. A few sprinkles can’t be ruled out tonight but most of us will be dry. read more

Some beautiful weather to close out May, lots of sun, not a lot of heat + humidity. Enjoy while it lasts!

An unsettled pattern moves in Saturday and will be in no rush to leave.

Saturday midday/afternoon looks like the most likely ETA for rain/storms. No severe weather expected for us, those chances are to our west, but can’t rule out a strong storm or two. Having a back-up plan for outdoor activities won’t be a bad idea. Details still a bit fuzzy, check back in for updates. read more

We can thank a high pressure system for the comfortable weather we’ll have thru Friday. Dry, highs in the low 80s and waking up with temps in the mid to upper 50s. A wonderful way to close the month of May. read more

We get treated with lovely weather for the upcoming work week, perhaps a good week to work outside.

Nice and cool mornings this week, waking up with temps in the mid to upper 50s. High temperatures around average for this time of the year. read more