A few lights showers will stick around for the rest of the night, no big deal. Most of the night should be dry.
Tuesday, more specifically during the afternoon and evening, we’ll deal with a very low, but nonzero chance of severe weather.
Happy Mother’s Day!
Very nice weather will stick with us today for whatever plans you might have.
Mild temperatures will stay with us throughout the week, but nice weather will not.
Rain chances will creep in Monday morning, with some additional chances during the afternoon/evening. Rainouts possible, but most of the activity should be fairly light.
Still cannot get over last night. Although not the best show with the naked eye, the views thanks to cameras were absolutely spectacular. Seeing them has always been on my bucket list, but I for sure thought it would require some travel. Just amazing to be able to see them right here at home.
A very nice Friday unfolding. I got the privilege to caddy a good friend of mine in a disc golf tournament this morning, got to enjoy the nice weather and some discs.
Our dry and mild weather will continue throughout the weekend. All outdoor activities look great. Steeplechase, any Mother’s Day plans, all look splendid.
Thankfully, our severe weather threat is all over, but we are still dealing with some flooding issues. Smaller creeks and streams will slowly recede, but larger rivers such as the Cumberland will take a little bit to crest. If you come across a flooded roadway, turn around, don’t drown!
Good morning. Multiple rounds of severe weather are possible today and tonight with all modes possible. Flash flooding, tornadoes, damaging straight line wind and large hail.
Timing: This is especially difficult to communicate. Some may see multiple severe storms today. Some may see only one or just one nearby. It depends on many factors, many of which aren’t being handled well in the models today. This is not a one and done event and will likely last about 24 hours.
1–Severe weather requires four things. Today we had moisture ✅, instability ✅, shear ✅, but no trigger/lifting mechanism ❌.
We dodged the daytime threat. Had we had lift, very bad things would have happened somewhere in Middle TN.
Tuesday aka today
1–This Afternoon.
A few lightningstorms will be around Middle TN. Not sure exactly where and when. There should not be many of them. Not everyone will get stormed. Those storms that get going will have plenty of fuel to tap. Those could be bad storms.
In this blog: 1. Website/X change. 2. Storms tonight. 3. Severe storms outlooked this week.
1–Website change.
As you probably know, we’ve made recent attempts to become less dependent on Twitter and instead create a website from the ground up that would serve as our main timeline and push to social media platforms secondarily. The site would serve as a one stop shop. Pull it up, let it sit there, and be fed all NashSevereWx content automatically. While our developers have done amazing things with this concept under the hood of the site – and it works well most of the time for most people – none of us think it’s quite ready for us to depend on during a week when potentially severe, storms are forecast. We’re committed to getting it perfect. In the meantime, we’ll be posting our updates to Twitter (X), and only long-form blogs like this one to the website like we used to. We’ll be on our YouTube channel covering any warnings. Cool things are coming. We’ll keep you updated!
Isolated non-severe thunderstorms are possible throughout the evening. Most of us should stay dry, but a few unlucky folks may get caught in the rain.
The HRRR model gives its’ best guess at what we could be dealing with tonight, but models have a tough time handling these situations very well.
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