Thursday – Rain Begins – Morning Low 63 / Afternoon High 63 (yeah, the same!)
6am 63 . 9am 63 . Noon 63 . 3pm 62 . 6pm 53 . 9pm 48
Showers should begin around 6 a.m.. Here’s the RAP model turning on the morning rain:
Thursday – Rain Begins – Morning Low 63 / Afternoon High 63 (yeah, the same!)
6am 63 . 9am 63 . Noon 63 . 3pm 62 . 6pm 53 . 9pm 48
Showers should begin around 6 a.m.. Here’s the RAP model turning on the morning rain:
Updated data has arrived. It’s a bit encouraging compared to what we were seeing yesterday, but still too close for comfort and complacency.
One thing all the models seem to agree upon — for now — is no snow. Sleet or Freezing Rain is the threat.
We’ve heated past 70 today. After noon, the official temp was 75.
That’s going to change.
The rain will begin in the morning, and should continue – mostly unabated – through Friday night and into Saturday morning. Totals will approach 3″, possibly more in some areas:
This afternoon, our NWS began its Area Forecast Discussion by saying:
“Forecast confidence is increasing daily about the fact that Middle Tennessee is staring down the barrel of a miserable several days starting late Wednesday night.”
SUMMARY. Early this week, a southwest wind will deliver warm, moist air, raising temps and bringing significant late-week rain. A cold front arrives Friday night, delivering a mystery bag of wintry precip over the weekend. If you’ve already read this, Scroll down for the NWS 8 p.m. update (in red).
Tonight – Maybe Some Sprinkles – Overnight Low 43
6pm 51 . 9pm 48
The HRRR model tonight doesn’t think much of tonight’s rain chances. Sunday 6 p.m. – Monday 3 a.m.:

Sunday – Clouds, Maybe a Light Evening Sprinkler – Morning Low 33, Afternoon High 54
6am 34 . 9am 41 . Noon 50 . 3pm 53 . 6pm 49 . 9pm 46
Here’s your FutureCastSometimesWrong Radar (aka, the 4km Hi-Res NAM), Noon to 8 pm. Not much rain, if any:
Tonight – Mostly Clear – Overnight Low 28
6pm 42 . 9pm 37
Considering how cold we have been lately, we can’t ask for much better shopping/travel weather.
Saturday – Sunny – Morning Low 28, High 56
Thanksgiving – Cold But Warmer – Overnight Low 23
3pm 40 . 6pm 34 . 9pm 30 . 12am 28
Happy Thanksgiving from David (Best Boss-Man Ever!), Will (Thankful I’m not washing his Jeep anymore!), and me (The Intern)! Hope you are cherishing the time you have with family, friends, and all the blessings in your life!
Too cold to go outside for a break from loved ones?

Hope that helped. You are not alone.
(Editor’s Note: I do not feel this way about my visiting in-laws. They’re awesome! Really, I mean that, Ju-Ju!)
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