Current Radar
We shot up to at least 86° (the high isn’t “official” yet), so not so Octobery.
Clear tonight.
Few more clouds will work in as Friday’s cold front approaches, but it’ll still get pretty hot.
Current Radar
A beautiful day is in store for us on this hump day.
Expect a mostly sunny sky with temperatures in the upper 80s. Dew points will stay in the upper 50s this afternoon = comfortable.
High pressure is keeping things dry for today and tomorrow.
Current Radar
We’ll continue to keep a few clouds around tonight, as temperatures fall to the low 80°s.
So, not an overly cool evening by any means, but dew points will still be ‘ok.’
Current Radar
Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday.
The reason: a ridge is bossing our weather.
A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain.
Current Radar
The green on the above radar is clutter.
Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday. The opposite of last Thursday through Saturday’s frustrating upper level low.
A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain.
So, y’all, this is terribly familiar:
Catastrophic #flooding is impacting much of South Carolina today; up to 25" of rain has fallen since 10/1! #SCFlood pic.twitter.com/Zqd1LwtxEW
— NWS Nashville (@NWSNashville) October 4, 2015
Current Radar
The men and women at NWS-Nashville are forecasting professionals with hundreds of years of experience. Here’s how NWS-Nashville started off the morning forecast discussion:
The upper level low that made it rain for three days has finally moved east over southern Georgia.
Refresh your browser to update the radar, above. As you can see, rain is coming Crazy Ivan style, east to west.
The rain reason is the upper level low, which has been sitting to our S/SE since Thursday:
See above. It appears the heavier/steadier rain will turn to lighter/off-and-on rain tonight.
The HRRR model shows decreasing showers tonight and overnight:
The last frame of the HRRR (above) shows more rain coming from E Tennessee at 6 AM. If that trend continues (I’ll update the HRRR model on Twitter @NashSevereWx later tonight), it’ll completely wash away all Saturday outdoor activities.
Current Radar
The current weathermaker is not Hurricane Joaquin. Our weather is due to an upper level low that has set up camp in the southeast, spinning counterclockwise.
Another dreary day is in store for us. Expect an overcast sky with a high temperature only reaching 64°.