Current Radar
THIS EVENING – 82° by 7 PM
Oh yes, another warm and humid evening…
We’ll be keeping an eye on the rain to our south and east, but don’t plan on it messing with your plans tonight.
Radar through 7 AM:
OctoSummer! Then Friday Happens.
Current Radar
It Got Hot Today
We shot up to at least 86° (the high isn’t “official” yet), so not so Octobery.
Clear tonight.
Thursday – One Last Day of OctoSummer – High: 87°
Few more clouds will work in as Friday’s cold front approaches, but it’ll still get pretty hot.
Plenty of Sunshine Today then Plot Twist
Current Radar
Today – Mostly Sunny – High: 87°
A beautiful day is in store for us on this hump day.
Expect a mostly sunny sky with temperatures in the upper 80s. Dew points will stay in the upper 50s this afternoon = comfortable.
High pressure is keeping things dry for today and tomorrow.
Dry Until a Friday Cold Front
Current Radar
THIS EVENING – 80° by 7 PM
We’ll continue to keep a few clouds around tonight, as temperatures fall to the low 80°s.
So, not an overly cool evening by any means, but dew points will still be ‘ok.’
Looking Good Until Friday
Current Radar
Through Thursday: Woooo Streaking!
Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday.
The reason: a ridge is bossing our weather.
Rain Friday?
A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain.
Streaking!
Current Radar
The green on the above radar is clutter.
Monday – Thursday: Woooo Streaking!
Low 80°s, no rain, Monday through Thursday. The opposite of last Thursday through Saturday’s frustrating upper level low.
Rain Friday?
A surface low pressure system will spin across the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front behind it. This low will be centered waaaay too far north to cause us any strong/severe weather problems. There’s a chance of maybe some thunder, but the main impact will be some rain.
Some Relief
Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)
So, y’all, this is terribly familiar:
Catastrophic #flooding is impacting much of South Carolina today; up to 25" of rain has fallen since 10/1! #SCFlood pic.twitter.com/Zqd1LwtxEW
— NWS Nashville (@NWSNashville) October 4, 2015
Much Better
Current Radar
The men and women at NWS-Nashville are forecasting professionals with hundreds of years of experience. Here’s how NWS-Nashville started off the morning forecast discussion:
Today – Clearing Out? Probably – High 76°
The upper level low that made it rain for three days has finally moved east over southern Georgia.
One More Day Of Gross Weather
Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)
Saturday – Watching Rain Approach from the East
Refresh your browser to update the radar, above. As you can see, rain is coming Crazy Ivan style, east to west.
The rain reason is the upper level low, which has been sitting to our S/SE since Thursday:
Chilly and Miserable and Wet (But Maybe Not Wet)
Current Observations and Radar (refresh to update)
Tonight – Radar Watching
See above. It appears the heavier/steadier rain will turn to lighter/off-and-on rain tonight.
The HRRR model shows decreasing showers tonight and overnight:
Saturday – Rainout Alert? Not So Fast – High 61°
The last frame of the HRRR (above) shows more rain coming from E Tennessee at 6 AM. If that trend continues (I’ll update the HRRR model on Twitter @NashSevereWx later tonight), it’ll completely wash away all Saturday outdoor activities.