Today: Drying out. High 75º

We should trend toward less rain today. However, it may not feel very dry, as humidity levels will remain high. Still no rain is better than lots of rain so we’ll take it. read more

Current Radar 

For that reason, the Areal Flood Watch now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties will continue. Here’s the official text of the Watch:

As the front comes back north, we should see some rain, but model guidance hasn’t been much/any help to determine when or how much. Not looking for much more rain from this, but we certainly aren’t dry. read more

Current Radar 

Merry Christmas! – Heavy Rain, Areal Flood Watch, Thunderstorms Also Possible – High 65°

Heavy rain is here.

An Areal Flood Watch is now in effect for Davidson and Williamson Counties.Here’s the official text of the Watch:

Flooding potential seems limited by the unexpected arrival of a cold front: read more

Current Radar 

Christmas Day – Heavy Rain, Areal Flood Watch Williamson Co., Thunderstorms Also Possible – Early 61° High 65°

Heavy rain is on the way.

Flooding potential remains high in areas in and around the Watch area. Here’s the official text of the Watch:

Rainfall will be heavy. Forecast soundings show all time high precipitable water values for Christmas Day: 1.7″. Think of precipitable water like this. If you stuffed a towel in a giant tube, sent the tube straight up in the air through the atmosphere and let it soak up the moisture, then squeezed it out, you’d get 1.7″ of water. read more

Current Radar 

NWS-Nashville’s Area Forecast Discussion this morning led off with:

Christmas Eve – Sunny & Warn – High 70°

The cold front that triggered last night’s severe weather has come and gone. It cleared the clouds and sucked out the humidity (dew point has dropped 14° since last night), but the warm temps remain. read more

Current Radar 

Tonight’s Tornado Watch is Over for Davidson Co. The threat has passed Williamson Co.

Active weather remains a concern Friday and Monday or Tuesday of next week, although likely not nearly as worrisome as it has been today.

Anyway, I’m exhausted, no energy to update the forecast here on the website. read more

Current Radar 

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Tornado Watch for us tonight.

If you don’t know what that is or what to do, click this.

The Watch will expire at 11 PM tonight.

The ETA of the storms approaching Middle Tennessee is between 6:30 PM and 7:30 PM. Those north of I-40 may see these storms arrive closer to 6:30 PM. Though south of I-40 may see the storms arrive closer to 7:30 PM. read more

Current Radar 

Severe Weather Risk Increases

The NOAA Storm Prediction Center has upgraded our risk from Enhanced to Moderate – level 4 of 5 on the scale of risks for severe weather. Updates to their outlook include adding wording for long track tornadoes. They are calling this a potential outbreak of severe thunderstorms. Nothing major has changed in terms of thunderstorm timing, but they believe that the threat for severe weather has increased. read more

Current Radar 

Well folks, I’m your special guest blogger (Kelton Halbert) from the University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology. I’m back home in Nashville for the holidays and was asked to lend a hand – so don’t blame David if I butcher this! read more

Current Radar 

Tonight/Overnight – Maybe a Little Rain

There’s nothing on our radar right now, and the HRRR model isn’t too impressed by our overnight rain chances:

We may see a few light showers squeeze out in the middle of the night while the bulk of the rain passes to our SE, clearing out the SE US for tomorrow’s event. read more