The low pressure system stuck in the Mississippi Valley will continue to bring the region stormy weather today. But will you get it? Depends on exactly where you are.
This is one of those days where Joelton, Franklin, and BNA get storms, but no one else. Or Fairview-Bellevue-North Nashville-Skyline-Goodlettsville get stormed. You get the idea.
More than 1″ fell early this morning per MRMS estimates.
More downpours and storms are possible this afternoon and evening. The HRRR sure thinks so:
Lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rain are the hazards with this. Water sports and other outdoor stuff away from enclosed shelters are most vulnerable today. Hail and tornado are not in the forecast, but we think tiny hailstones are possible should an updraft get particularly strong.
Storms crossed to our north this morning and moved out. More storms may boil up later this afternoon or tonight, but the HRRR model doesn’t have much/anything for us through midnight. Possible a lightningstorm will pop up, so don’t leave yourself vulnerable. Keep an eye on things. But we don’t think you should cancel anything.
Summertime heat is in full effect today as you can expect a scorcher. Dewpoints range in the mid to upper 60’s today, so it’ll feel sticky to uncomfortable, just the way we all like it.
Rain probabilities today are low. Scattered showers and pop-up storms are possible, but also entirely not possible. HRRR thinks the world’s tiniest showers could develop in the evening hours. If they do form and go over our area, it will be quick and nothing to worry about.
Who else can remember a rain-free Independence Day that wasn’t either blazing hot or miserably humid (or both)? I know I can’t. But that’s exactly what we’re going to see today. Don’t get me wrong, it’s still going to be pretty warm, but much more comfortable than we’ve been used to lately. Dewpoints are forecasted to rise to the mid 60s tonight, around the time that a lot of you will be watching fireworks. So a little sweaty, but temps will cool off enough to keep you comfortable.
We got down to 61° at 4:53 AM, which was 4° warmer than the July 3 record low. Perfect temp/humidity combo today. Temps and dew points will rise a bit Sunday, but still way below average. Heat cranks again Monday, heat index upper 90°s. No rain possible until at least Tuesday or Wednesday, but more likely Thursday and Friday.
