I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but it still isn’t sweater weather yet. Temps today in the mid to high 80s, and dewpoints hanging on at the high 60s. A bit sticky but definitely could be worse. Temps today are falling right below the record high for today.
Category: Featured Blog
Above Average Temps and (Mostly) Dry
Mild-ish Day Today, Possible Afternoon Showers
Temps and humidity are sticking to the trend today – temps in the high 70s and dewpoints in the high 60s (so sticky, but not unbearable).
The NWS said that some afternoon pop ups are possible, but HRRR shows most of the fun weather happening to our east. In their words, “Don’t think it’ll be widespread, but we’ll probably see some pavement wetters prior to sunset this evening.”
No Rain Tonight, Drying Out Tomorrow
After a few rainy days, we enjoyed a mainly rain-free day except for some mist this morning. The rainfall is stacking up.
Rest of Week Looks Dry… but Warm
Guess what… we’re warming back up. Expect no less when it’s Fall in TN. One of these days we won’t have to rely on rain to bring us more Fall-like temps.
Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today
HRRR has showers and storms already moving into our area with storms continuing into the afternoon/evening.
SPC has included us in their outlook for severe weather today with the following probabilities for seeing severe weather.
Rain Here Through Thursday
Showers and storms look pretty widespread today. They look to hang around through the overnight hours. HRRR not showing a lot of breaks from the rain today.
No gaps in rain = rainout potential. Outdoor plans don’t seem like they will fair well. Nothing severe is expected with these storms, but don’t rule out lightning and the occasional strong gust of wind.
Drier Today, Rain Showers Most of the Week
Rainy Sunday; More This Week
Rain from this morning will continue off and on today through the afternoon. Off/On rain and storms should end around 7 PM. See HRRR below:
There is a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, so some of these showers and storms may lead to heavy downpours. WPC thinks there is a low chance (5 – 10%) for flash flooding to occur in Davidson & Williamson counties.
Scattered Showers Today, Rain Returns on Sunday
Temperature highs will be in the low 80’s and lows will be in the high 60’s. Chances for scattered showers are possible today (HRRR shown below).
The model is showing that some showers pop up around 5 and are off and on through the evening. Rain today and tonight should not be heavy, but we can’t rule out a rumble of thunder.
Sunday = Rain
Rain is expected in the early morning on Sunday. Rain continues off and on through lunchtime or maybe mid-afternoon (3-4 pm). The evening will be mostly overcast with still a chance for light occasional showers later into the night as things move out.
Some of the Sunday rain could be on the stronger side. The only concerns would be strong wind gusts and heavy downpours.
Rest of the Week
A closed low will circle around our area… see the morning AFD for an explanation.
A shortwave will dive south out of Minnesota/Wisconsin toward Arkansas Sunday night and quickly become a closed low by Monday evening. The closed low will spend the rest of the work week meandering around the Southeast and eventually the Ohio River Valley. This will put us in a cloudy, cooler, and wetter pattern than what we have seen over the past week. The highest PoPs areawide after Sunday will be Tuesday afternoon as the upper low lifts back north and west
Scattered Showers + Muggy Start To The Weekend
Those scattered showers from this morning might cause sprinkles for some of us until the early afternoon. For the rest of the day HRRR has the rain breaking up to avoid our counties.
This weekend is where we will see more of this rain. Saturday looks to have some scattered showers arriving around early afternoon. These won’t be too intense but will ease us into Sunday’s batch of rain starting Saturday night.