Winds up to 30 MPH today. Humidity May-typical, Sticky/Extra Deodorant Swipe range today and Saturday:
Sweaty / Boaty today and Saturday, hot under that cap and gown:
Rain/Storms may sneak in here Saturday late afternoon – early evening. 12z HRRR thinks so:
The morning weather balloon showed our atmosphere r-e-a-d-y to storm but our hero Ned is there, capping us off, preventing it all from happening. Hold on, Ned!
Models think it won’t storm today. HRRR shows a storm complex running north of us right along the Ohio River today:
Models disagree about today. It’s causing forecast headaches.
The HRRR model has storms missing you today and tonight.
The Euro has storms coming in here late afternoon/early tonight.
Which is “right?” Great question! Who knows? When “reliable” tools contradict the lesson isn’t “pick one,” it’s “we don’t really know.”
Hot with low humidity (under 55°!) today. Fantastic!
Let’s talk Wednesday.
Dewpoint up to the mid 60°s by late Weds afternoon and staying there through Thursday. #schweddy
More moisture and yeah, we’ll be set up for storms. But will they actually happen, maybe/probably not.
Nothing happening until maybe Wednesday when the dewpoint will jump above 60° . . .
. . . and it may rain, or worse.
Y’all been tweeting us about a Sting concert Weds night.
NAM3 has rain/storms around Weds and real talk immabit nervous for y’all, but this model at this range isn’t the best:
What: weakening storms, probs just rain. When: early evening/before midnight. Where: coming from the west and weakening along the way. Hazards: if it’s storm and not rain then lightning, low probability straight line winds, hail; no tornado concern. Confidence level: I’m always nervous on these days saying it won’t rain this afternoon but here we are. Why: this is not a theology blog. Discussion: keep reading.
No record breaking heat today (we’d have to make it to 92°; that record was set many, many years ago in 2018). Mid 80’s with low 60’s dewpoints = you’ll be a bit uncomfortable.
Happy Friday! Today looks like a great weather day with only a slight chance of passing showers. An overnight front showed up and is doing its best to limit dew points to below 60º. It’s hard work, but so far we’re winning the fight against the moisture.
When I started looking at data to write this blog I was hoping I’d see a gradual cool down and a return to more spring like temps.
The we’ll see 90º today and upper 80s on Friday with 60º dew points for the entire forecast period. That’s a recipe for hot and sticky feels when outside.
I’ve always loved the rhythm of the seasons in Middle Tennessee. The cold, the heat, and the in between. Right now is the in between. Mornings are comfortable, but sunburns are on tap in the afternoon.
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