Check those temperatures out!
Editor’s Note: gross.
The Euro model shows a few showers around Wednesday afternoon, but that looks light and inconsequential.
A steadier, heavier rain is expected Thursday afternoon and/or evening. Exact timing remains unresolved, but this looks most likely to be a Thursday night thing.
Skies will remain rather cloudy today but in terms of rain, however, very on and off pattern for the majority of the afternoon into the night.
You may see a stray shower in your backyard, you may not. We’re mainly eyeing a couple of passing sprinkles.
It’s peak severe weather season right now and we are super quiet. Medium and long range model data suggests (but doesn’t promise) we’ll stay quiet until end of April/early May.
Today:
Sunshine and a warmup through the mid-week.
Our next chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives Wednesday night and continues Thursday.
The approaching storm system presents some severe risk for Arkansas and West Tennessee. Severe is unlikely for us. The system appears to weaken a bit and become just a rain event with low-powered thunderstorms by the time it gets here. ETA most likely very late Wednesday into Thursday morning. Timing remains iffy, though, because hi-res models are not yet in range.
Check out today’s sunrise over the hills surrounding Grassland in Williamson county.
After last night’s severe weather, we dry out for most of today followed by decreasing clouds throughout the morning. We’ll be topping out near the upper 60s for our high temperature and the lower 50s for our low overnight tonight.
Rain is pretty likely Tuesday. Notice how it scatters and breaks up as it gets into Middle Tennessee on the Euro model (but we still get rained on):
The HRRR model doesn’t think it’ll break up. It thinks a heavier band of rain will cross through after lunch.
Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts…
High pressure remains in store for us through most of the work week and spring-like temperatures will continue for Nashville sitting at or above 70 degrees for most of the week!
Nearly 4-5 inches of rainfall fell from last Friday to this morning in Nashville. Bit less in Will Co.
All rain today will be well south of us:
Rivers and creeks will take time to drain. Levels will slowly go down.
Heavy localized rainfall and thunderstorms remain for the majority of the afternoon into tonight. The producer for this lineup is caused by a developing warm front moving northward over the area.
Mostly spotty showers and passing light rain will prevail from now until the late afternoon. The heaviest of rain does not appear to move over Nashville until around 8 PM tonight.
The surface front that brought some showers early this morning is making its final eastward exit out of the Plateau.
Clearing skies today will stick around with us for a good portion of the work week with mild temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
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