
Dry day today for humpppp day. Temps not too bad either, with highs reaching the low 80’s.

It’s about that time of the year to break out this chart again. Dewpoints will be hanging around the low 50’s today. Niceeee.
The next two afternoons and evenings will carry rain chances. Pretty typical for this time of the year.
The HRRR model (above) thinks we dodge most of the activity today. It’s hard to put a lot of confidence in that, but it’s a good sign I suppose. Any storm that does pop up today could contain lightning, heavy rain, gusty winds and some small hail. When thunder roars, go indoors.
Some showers currently moving thru, these should be quick and of little consequence. The big blob of scary, rain-out looking rain to our west, the HRRR model (below) expects it to fizzle out and become a distant memory of the past, except maybe some showers. Best chance for some showers would be early-afternoon, if you see any at all.
🎵”Loud thunder, heavy rainnnn”🎵 is what awoke my dog this morning, which means it was also time for me to get up.
There’s a brief break before another round of on/off rain/storms move through. Lightning is possible with this as well. HRRR model (below) does a pretty good job of showing it, timestamp in the upper left. No severe weather concerns.
None of the models picked up on the chance of rain this morning. Nevertheless, some of us are getting rain. A great reminder that models are farrrr away from perfect.
HRRR model shows additional showers/storms popping up around lunch and continuing through the afternoon. No severe weather is expected, but lightning, gusty winds and small hail are possible.
Pretty solid HUMPPPP day (shoutout Lelan). It’ll be quite warm, but should stay dry, until maybe tonight.
HRRR shows a band of showers/storms approaching tonight from the SW. Looks like it will almost completely collapse before it gets here. Maybe just some showers. Might have a cool light show if you look to the southwest though. Maybe you are outside, chatting with a friend, they hit you with the “oh look, heat lightning!” This is when you swoop in, like an eagle, and impress them with your vast knowledge. “Nonono, there is actually no such thing as ‘heat lightning’, it’s just lightning from a storm far away!” They’ll probably respond with “lol ok nerd” but just know deep down inside they are impressed.
Sometimes the weather model trends are bad, sometimes they are good. Today they are good.
Yesterday the HRRR showed a pretty wet Saturday. That wasn’t cool. Today (above) it has changed its mind and thinks we get away with a fairly dry Saturday, maybe a quicker shower or two this afternoon. That’s cool.