Rain has moved out from last night. SPC has outlooked us again today, 5% chance for damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding. We are not outlooked for a tornado threat, thanks to very little shear.
HRRR model (below) still shows a rough ETA of 5 – 6PM, still may not be exactly right.
The Storm Prediction Center maintained the 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles for today. There is a 15% chance of a damaging straight-line winds, 5% chance of hail and flash flooding.
We’re still looking at the possibility of two rounds of severe weather.
After the lunchtime update from the Storm Prediction Center, we are now outlooked for Monday (tomorrow). Specifically, a 5% chance of a damaging wind event and a 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles.
Today is the first day of meteorological summer. Whether you choose to think it is the first day of summer, or tend to side with the sun, moon, and stars, and wait until June 21 is entirely up to you. Maybe summer is just a mindset.
Last day of May brings us pretty typical weather for the time of year, hot and humid. No pop-up chances today.
Dewpoints in the ‘Sticky’ range today, creeping up to ‘Uncomfortable’ for Wednesday and Thursday.
No record breaking heat today (we’d have to make it to 92°; that record was set many, many years ago in 2018). Mid 80’s with low 60’s dewpoints = you’ll be a bit uncomfortable.
Last day of April brings us a bit above average temperatures. Nothin’ crazy. Noticeable breeze from the south and clouds will aid in keeping you a lil cooler.
Tonight
The HRRR model (above) shows some storms popping off and moving into our area around 7-9p. These storms should move out fairly quick. However, they may carry some lightning, so if you have outdoor plans, have a way to seek shelter inside. If thunder roars, go indoors. No severe weather is expected at this time, but stay connected.
Rain has moved out and we will (probably) stay dry today. Temps will reach the upper 60’s, not bad for a Saturday in April.
Garth Brooks looks all good to go tonight, no lightning or thunder concerns. NAM 3k model has some light showers this evening, HRRR model has no such showers. If I had to guess, I’d side with the HRRR, but it would be unwise to rule out another model solution. Looks as if you and your friends will not be in low places tonight.
Currently some showers in West TN, slowly making their way towards us.
The Dry Air Monster is feasting on these showers. I doubt any rain this rain will make it to the ground. If it does, amount would be just enough rain to cause a nuisance, not “oh no rainout, cancel all outdoor plans” kinda rain.
Not much going on today, drizzle will move out by lunch, but the clouds will likely hold on until around sunset. Cooler than average temps.
Sunday stays dry, nice clear day with temps back to around average. Monday is a repeat of this.
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