Today will be quite nice, seasonal temps, no rain besides for maybe a drizzle this morning. Sun should peak out later.
Tomorrow we turn our attention to a system that we’ve been watching for a while.
Severe Weather Potential Tuesday
Elan
Windy + Drizzly Sunday, Storm Potential Tuesday
Windy start to the day as both of our counties are under a Wind Advisory. May need to tie down some Christmas decor, also heads up Titans special teams…it’s coming from the SW.
Could see some drizzle this afternoon/evening. Won’t be much, but just enough to notice it. Below is what the HRRR model thinks.
Blerg Watch For Saturday, Cold Temps Settling In
Get outside while you can, it likely won’t be this warm again for a hot minute.
As a cold front pushes in later this evening, it brings colder temps along with some rain chances, along with a chance at a term that hasn’t been used in a while – Blerg.
Today Looks Like A Treat, Sunday and Monday May Have Tricks
Really nice late October Saturday. Looks like the rain should hold off all day, so outdoor Halloween activities look to have the green light. Worst case scenario, there’s a quick lil’ shower, doubt it though.
Low Probability Of Severe Weather Today, Look At Halloween Weekend
Some showers of no consequence moving through this morning, only will help water the grass a little.
🍃Before the main line of storms arrive, it will be windy. We are under a Wind Advisory until 7pm for sustained winds 15-25 mph, with gusts up to 40mph. That could bring down a few tree limbs before the storms arrive. Also, may make it difficult for high-profile vehicles, especially on I-40. Would be a good idea to move Halloween decor inside and make sure trampolines are tied down so they don’t become frisbees.
Severe Storm Potential Tuesday
Nice today with a high temp getting all the way up to 80° (record is 85° set in 2000).
Looking ahead to tomorrow, the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us for ⚠️severe weather, specifically:
- 5% chance within 25 miles of damaging straight-line winds 💨 and severe hail (1″+)
- 2% chance of a tornado 🌪️ within 25 miles
- higher risk exists to our south and west
Before the storms arrive, tomorrow during the day will be windy and a Wind Advisory may be issued. Tie down Halloween decor, trampolines, light aunts, etc.
Meh Rain Chances For The Weekend, Drought Update + First Freeze?
It’s been a while since we’ve had rain chances so close to each other, but don’t get your hopes up, this next chance doesn’t look to be much.
🌧️The Euro model above shows rain chances Saturday thru Sunday.
Today’s Afternoon/Evening Severe Weather Potential
Some light showers this morning – no worries with these.
🕜 General ETA for main line of storms is 4-7 PM –> HRRR model thinks 5-6 PM (This could very easily change, stay connected!)
🕜 NAM3k model thinks storms in front of the line arrive 6-7 PM, while the main line gets here around 10-11 PM. (Majority of models lean toward the HRRR solution, ETA of 4-7PM is more likely, but it is unwise to discount any model).
Wednesday Night Severe Weather Potential
⚠️Updated from earlier today.
This morning we thought the storms would come in around 9 PM to 10 PM Wednesday night. Now we think that’s earlier.
⌚ HRRR model ETA is now 5 PM to 6 PM. Timing may change so stay informed.
Liquid May Fall From The Sky On Wednesday?
I’ve forgotten what it looks like, but it may* rain from above on Wednesday. Yes, maybe, not for sure.
Two models show two different solutions. Sus.
The EURO (below) shows very little, if any. Maybe just enough to get the ground a lil’ wet.
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