There’s uncertainty to some degree in every forecast, but there’s a little extra in tonight’s.

Models have not handled the showers/storms that are ongoing today, so it’s likely that they might not have a good grip on things later today. read more

There will be a brief window for severe weather potential this afternoon.

Specifically, there is a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and a 2% chance of a tornado, both within 25 miles.

Scattered showers and storms will move in from the S/SW (a little different than usual), providing an opportunity for not only the needed rain but a very low-end severe weather threat. read more

Summary:

• Every day thru at least Wednesday has medium to high rain chances, although this doesn’t mean you’ll get rain everyday
• Chances will generally be highest during the afternoon/early evening
• Storms should stay below severe limits, 2-3″ of rain will be possible over the next week

Scattered showers are already ongoing (as of 11a) and will continue to do so thru this evening. The coverage of these showers/storms looks to be less than yesterday, so there is certainly hope for any outdoor events this PM, including any graduations. It’ll be close though. read more

Some scattered showers have already started to move through the area and will continue to do so thru this evening.

The HRRR model paints a picture, although it might not be the picture:

Lightning will certainly be possible with any of these storms, along with some strong winds in one or two storms. When thunder roars, go indoors. read more

After our recent very quiet and dry spell, we are now playing catch up, with rain chances every single day over the next week.

Today [Tuesday] has the lowest odds of us seeing rain out of the next seven. read more

We certainly have no lack of rain/storm chances this week.

However, today [Monday] will be the lone exception to that. It’ll be hot, with highs in the low 90s – so if you need to do any yard work, right now or closer to dinner will be your best bet. read more

Good news: we are no longer outlooked with any severe probabilities for today. We are north of the cold front, which effectively eliminates any concern we had for severe weather. That will all be confined to our south in MS, AL and GA. read more

So far today, most of the rain have been missing us to our south. I think this will be a common theme throughout this evening but can’t totally rule out a quick shower for some later.

Yesterday we discussed the possibility of an overnight round of showers/storms. This still hold true; however, there’s a low-end chance a storm or storm is strong to severe. read more

Nice weather will continue thru the end of today. Warm and dry.

Rain chances return sometime midday on Tuesday. Majority of the rain will stay to our N. Perhaps not a total washout.

HRRR model gives an educated guess, far from perfect: read more

Very nice weather today and Monday. Dry and mild.

Rain chances creep back in starting Tuesday midday and will stick around thru Wednesday night. It won’t rain the entire time; it’ll be on and off with some showers and storms. Thankfully, no severe weather is expected, just some beneficial rain. read more