We continue our Wattery (water + lottery) chances today with some isolated showers/storms possible this afternoon and early evening. Basically a repeat of the past couple days, just with some different placement of the showers and storms. We also have reverted to our typical flow pattern, so no more Crazy Ivans.

As of 10:45a, showers are already firing off. We’ll be following all day and will send out updates on all of our socials.

Coverage looks more widespread as we go into Friday and Saturday, of course.

Timing will be similar, with most of the activity being confined from afternoon to early evening. We’ll have to deal with the usual – heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds, although can’t totally rule out a storm briefly reaching severe criteria due to 58+ mph wind gusts.

Here’s the HRRR guess on Friday, those with outdoor plans should certainly keep an eye on the forecast and have an indoor plan. Guidance, not gospel.

A similar set up on Saturday is possible, although we can get a little more specific on that on Friday.

Although Wattery chances will still exist Sunday and beyond, chances look to be lower than what we’ve been seeing.

Lots to be hopeful for next week:

“Next week looks to be considerably drier as the deepest moisture gets carried downstream and high pressure reasserts itself. We`ll hopefully enjoy some relief from the heat and humidity after Tuesday when another surface boundary maybe, possibly pushes through the mid state and drops temperatures a few degrees and send heat indices to more comfortable levels.” says NWS Nashville

Until then, our temperature + humidity combo will be gross enough to send heat index values near 100° each afternoon.

A new drought monitor got released today, with some good news.

We are no longer under any sort of drought, and now just considered ‘Abnormally Dry.’ A big difference from what we were in late April.

You may be asking how in the world we are still considered “Abnormally Dry” after all this rain we’ve got, which is a very fair question.

Depending on where you, places have received very different rainfall totals this month.

That’s the name of the game with the Wattery, you may get a nice storm that sits over you dumping several inches of rain in a short amount of time, while your friend on the other side of town gets nothing.

Since July 1st, the hotspot has been near Cool Springs to Nolensville, with upwards of 10″ of rain so far this month. Even near Downtown, several rain gauges have recorded near 7″ of rain so far. The “drier” spots have been around Fairview and northern Davidson, with “only” ~3-4″ of rain so far this month.

The official measurements are at BNA, which has received 3.89″ so far. Year-to-date, BNA is still 6.8″ below average on rainfall. So, while we are certainly clawing back, some places still have a way to go.