Because an area of low pressure way up in the air will become a “closed low.” That means dreary days ahead.
Thursday night, the closed low emerges! Here’s the GFS model:
Current Radar
If you looped the radar at 304 PM, you saw one batch of showers move NE, the other NW, because why not.
As Meagan wrote this morning, rain is coming tonight. Moisture from an upper low and a surface low in the Gulf is surging north.
Current Radar
Eclipse viewing looks poor tonight, although we may see a few breaks in the clouds.
We may see rain arrive after midnight, but models think it’ll break up upon arrival.
Check out the system coming our way from the south:
Current Radar
It’s been a soggy few days. Even though we’re not yet done with the rain, I feel a liiiiitle bit better about today.
Yesterday’s mid/upper level low (which created the rain) has moved north and washed out. Today there’s another system in the northern Gulf of Mexico coming our way:
Current Radar
It doesn’t look too bad to be outside.
It’ll be overcast all day, for sure. High only 73°.
Current conditions:
There will be at least a little rain, but it should be the light, even drizzly variety.
Current Radar
At the risk of making too many analogies, the upper level low is, as I write this, spinning in a Reverse Sherman — working its way from Atlanta to Chattanooga.
The NW quadrant of the low is producing Crazy Ivan showers, all in compliance with what the models said they’d do, which is refreshing. Showers will continue off and on, working from east to west, before probably reducing in coverage later tonight.
Current Radar
Check out the radar above, and the water vapor below. Behold the swirl to our southeast.
It’s going to rain a little this afternoon and tonight.
HRRR thinks the rain will arrive by mid/late afternoon.
Current Radar
Rain appears likely Friday. It won’t be steady, and it won’t be much.
There’s slight disagreement with the models about when it will start.
Let’s start with the early one, the NAM4, which has a “too-soon” bias. It says 6 AM.
Current Radar
87° in fall is not unconscionable, but it is unacceptable. Still, it’s way better than winter, which is a horrible season and if you disagree we cannot be friends with me and Paul.
We hit 83° today.
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Temps will warm a bit every day. Starting Monday: 81° – 84° – 84° – 85° – 84°, then 82° on Saturday.