Uncomfortable dewpoints + upper 90°s temps will drive the heat index over 100° starting today, continuing at least through the weekend.

Temps “drop” Monday, but still very humid.

• Temps just into the mid 90°s lol.
• This reason: more clouds due to higher dewpoints should block the sun and interrupt the bake.
• Rain and thunderstorms may develop late Monday afternoon, reducing forecast temps.

The Wattery returns next week. read more

Not much happening next several days other than it’s gonna be hot.

Dewpoints in the upper 60°s today through the weekend will be … uncomfortable. Combine that with near 100° temps and we’ll see the Heat Index approach 105°. At 105°+ NWS issues a Heat Advisory. read more

Below I posted the MaybeWrong HRRR model. It thinks light showers descend from KY beginning midnight tonight and hit or miss sprinkle you until around Saturday afternoon. Would not alter plans. Rainfall unevenly spread and very light. No storm concerns. read more

Rain and Storm chances return Sunday afternoon. Until then, sticky-uncomfortable humidity (dewpoints in the 60°s) with typical mid-July temps:

Humidity jumps up Sunday afternoon when The Wattery will resume. Place your bets on getting an isolated, scattered shower or thunderstorm overhead each afternoon Sunday through at least Weds. Lightning the hazard, not concerned about tornadoes. read more

Yesterday’s forecast had wins (HRRR timing on Will Co storms, damaging straight line wind threat) and losses (SPC did not mention hail yet Will Co saw 1″ hail then that storm blew into Marshall Co and dropped 4″ hail on Chapel Hill). read more

Storms and showers east and south today, I think we stay dry. Humidity also dropping, ending the streak of sweat, in hopelessness and rage, 70° dewpoints delivering oppressive humidity. Dewps today “only” sticky/uncomfortable, mid to upper 60°s, yay? It’s not football weather but at least it snapped a 120 hour 70°+ dewpoint streakdepicted in blue below, a message straight to your soul: read more

“Wattery” is a three tiered dad pun (which I will now ruin for the sake of clarity: lottery as in who knows who will win – maybe nobody, watery as in rain we need, watts as in electricity as in lightning), deal with it. read more

The dewpoint jumped from 58° at 5 AM to 68° at 9 AM.

Foreseeable future afternoon highs are now stuck in the low/mid 90°s.

Storms may pop up this afternoon. High pressure will fight storm formation but a few cells may push through. Don’t know exactly whether, when, or where it’ll happen. read more

Air Quality Alert today — impacting sensitive groups (asthma, young/old, etc.)

Abnormally-dry predrought continues. We are 3.18″ below normal for June, but 2.66″ above normal for 2022. read more