Current Radar
Although we expressed uncertainty (here and on Twitter), I grade today’s “some rain” forecast like this:
I can point to the storms that formed 30 miles that way, or offer some explanation for the sunshine and attempt to sound smart. But really, who cares.
Current Radar
A lot of rain is piling up to our west. It’s being pushed by a weak cold front, which will arrive tonight.
Here’s what the HRRR thinks the radar will look like through 9 PM:
Current Radar
A cold front is coming, which means off and on rain is expected during the day. Blanketing clouds will keep temps from soaring to 93° (where we were Sunday).
We aren’t exactly sure when the rain will start. The NAM4 model thinks we’ll see it around 10 AM:
Current Radar
Today – Feeling like Triple Digits. (Pretty Much) High: 94°
Humid and dry conditions continue as upper level ridge of high pressure hovers over us.
We are going to feel like the upper 90s today. Hang in there.
Current Radar
Sunday – Above Average Temperatures with Plenty of Sunshine! – High: 94°
Sunday will be the definition of a bad hair day.
High pressure will continue to dominate. The winds shift from out of the north to out of the south by Sunday morning. This will really amp things up!
Current Radar
By this evening the cloud cover should be clearing out, as an area of high pressure forces its way into Tennessee.
We’ll still be rain-free:
Temperatures will be nice and it wont be very humid at all through the evening hours. Good evening for outdoor plans!
Current Radar
The frontal boundary that models had moving through this afternoon is taking it’s time. It’s in no hurry.
And, we don’t have anything to worry about…we’ve seen 99% of the rain we’re going to see out of this system. It’s all off to our east now:
Current Radar
Until 7 AM tomorrow, our threat for severe storms will remain marginal, or a 1 on a scale of 0 to 5:
We are now included in the risk areas for strong winds and hail greater than 1 inch in diameter:
Current Radar
Temperatures will still be on the warm side by this evening.
The NAM4 model is expecting the rain associated with that frontal boundary to stay to our north, in Kentucky:
Radar trends late this afternoon back this up. I expect we’ll stay dry through the evening!
Current Radar
Experimental Radar
(Poor Mr. Belding)
The slim chance of rain did not materialize. We did see showers at the TN/AL border, but nothing bugging us.
We can’t completely rule out a shower from sprouting, but we don’t think it’ll rain tonight.