Severe Chances Monday AM + PM, Then A Much Needed Break

No rest for the weary as we dealt with another round of severe storms today, and have two more chances before we finally get a break.

Rest of the night will be dry, but that won’t last long.

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Monday we have been outlooked with a: read more

Severe Weather Chances Then A Cooldown

An approaching cold front will bring us a cool down, but first it will threaten us with severe weather.

Similar to yesterday we think is mostly a non-tornado event.

Currently, the hot and humid air and abundant sunshine are adding instability to our atmosphere. A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued by the storm prediction center. read more

Two More Days of Severe Chances

Quite the active morning we had. If you have any storm reports, be sure to tweet them at us with #tspotter. We’ll have a quiet and dry rest of our Saturday night.

Another Chance of Severe Weather Sunday

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The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked both of our counties with a: read more

‘Tis The Season For MCSs

Nice calm Friday night. Just what the doctor ordered.

Severe Storms Saturday?

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The Storm Prediction Center has all of Middle TN outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or severe hail within 25 miles.

Our chance for severe weather will likely arrive in the form of a MCS, AKA Mesoscale Convective Systems. For us, these often come down I-24 and tomorrow looks like it’ll follow suit. read more

Storm Chances Return Saturday-Monday

If you slept through the storms early this morning, grats. The lightning output was pretty incredible, and we saw a brief wind gust that damaged a tree or two in S Brentwood.

Decent rain amounts too, especially in central Williamson Co. read more

Two Rounds of Potentially Severe Weather

The convective outlook for today places most of Davidson and Williamson Counties in an area of enhanced risk. There is an enhanced risk for brief spinup tornadoes and damaging straight line wind. Let’s get into the details. read more

Damaging Straight-Line Winds Main Threat Wednesday PM/Overnight, Multiple Rounds Possible

Rest of today and Wednesday morning will be calm. Let’s dive into the severe threat.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us with probabilities of “x” within 25 miles tomorrow.

  • 30% chance of damaging (58mph+) straight-line winds
  • 5% chance of severe (1″+) hail
  • 2% chance of a tornado

There is also a 15% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles. read more

Severe Chances Return Wednesday

Probably a dry rest of the evening, HRRR (below) thinks a few showers could slide in. They’d be quick and no big deal.

Tues.

Percentage wise, rain chances appear pretty low tomorrow. However, the HRRR disagrees. read more

Damaging Straight-Line Wind/Hail Threat Monday AM

Storms thankfully missed us to the south today, leaving us with a dry evening.

Monday AM

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We’ve been outlooked with a

  • 15% chance of damaging (58mph+) straight-line winds within 25 miles
  • 5% chance of severe (1″+) hail within 25 miles
  • we are not included in any tornado probabilites

Tomorrow will be a conditional threat AKA there are more “ifs” than normal.

The latest HRRR model (above) has the storms forming on top of us Monday morning. Where these storms form will be very important. read more

Uncertainty Tonight, Severe Storms Possible Sunday and Monday

Tonight

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Tonight we have been outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds within 25 miles.

HRRR has been back and forth about tonight. Earlier runs showed a cluster of storms moving in around 8 or 9. Now, thinks we stay dry. read more