Fireworks? Ruh Roh

Current Radar

630 PM Update: A Flash Flood Warning is in effect for Williamson County. If you’re in the green box, my advice is to stay home.

This Afternoon and Tonight – Looks Rainy

The stationary front remains north of us. Rain and storms have been firing off it as it feeds off the humid air mass overhead. read more

Fireworks Update!

Current Radar

This Afternoon and Tonight – Looks Rainy

A stationary front has set up just north of us. Rain and storms are firing off it as it feeds off the humid airmass overhead:

Expect scattered showers — some heavy at times — to move east this afternoon. read more

Should You Plan To See Fireworks Tonight? I Think So.

Current Radar

Today – Watching For Rain – High 81°

The main rain band has set up well south of us:

I drew white squiggly lines on the above image to show little ripples/waves in the clouds, extending all the way back to Oklahoma. A few small showers were forming along that route this morning. read more

Rain On The Fourth?

Current Radar

Overnight – Maybe A Few Showers After Midnight

Showers and storms over Kentucky tonight have weakened. We will remain comfortably south of all that, with only our new, home grown, light showers to contend with beginning sometime around midnight (maybe a bit before then for Williamson County). read more

More Rain & Storms, But It’s Not All Bad News

Current Radar

Tonight – Radar trends show storms north, rain south, but we may stay dry (but windy)

Davidson County is included in a Flash Flood Watch until Saturday at 7 PM.

2″ to 4″ additional inches of rain are possible; however, the short-range models have arrived and are suggesting it may not be quite this bad. read more

Slight Risk for Severe Storms Continues This Evening

Current Radar

THIS EVENING – SHOWERS & STORMS CONTINUE 

We are under a slight risk for severe thunderstorms through early tomorrow morning:

While strong storms are likely to continue for areas inside this brown line, we’re not expecting a severe thunderstorm watch to be issued: read more

After The Storms…

Current Radar

*Updated with Severe Thunderstorm Watch at 11:50 AM – Kaiti* 

TODAY – Storms Gone…For Today – High: 83º

Both the HRRR model (shown) and the NAM4 model (not shown) agree that this afternoon’s activity will be southeast of us well before 7 PM: read more

Update: Marginal Risk for Severe Storms Today

Current Radar

*Updated with latest SPC update at 12:27 PM -Kaiti

THIS EVENING – Staying Dry (Most Likely)

We have been downgraded to a MARGINAL risk of severe thunderstorms today:

Here’s the breakdown of wind, tornado, and hail risks: read more

I-24 Storms Tonight, More Rain/Storms This Week

Current Radar

Tonight – Thunderstorms

The I-24 Storms are coming from the NW. See the above radar and follow us on Twitter @NashSevereWx for more info. These have strong, and maybe severe, potential.

The Storm Prediction Center still has our probability of a hail or a damaging wind event within 25 miles of us at 5%. We are excluded from their tornado outlook. read more

I Think You Can Handle The Truth

Current Radar

Today – Humidity, Rain & Storm Chances Return – High 87°

Showers and maybe a few storms may swing through this afternoon. The HRRR model sure thinks so:

I chose this wide view because it shows this week’s “source” of rain/storm activity: the northwest. read more