Tonight – Thunderstorms
The I-24 Storms are coming from the NW. See the above radar and follow us on Twitter @NashSevereWx for more info. These have strong, and maybe severe, potential.
The Storm Prediction Center still has our probability of a hail or a damaging wind event within 25 miles of us at 5%. We are excluded from their tornado outlook.
Tuesday – More Waves, More Rain Chances – High 87°
This week we expect a series of shortwaves, or impulses, or whatever you want to call them, ripple through the atmosphere, setting off rain and storm chances. You want to know when, where, and how much, right?
Pinpointing when/were/size is almost impossible: the variance in each model is wide. NWS-Nashville wrote this morning that “the timing and strength of these upper-level impulses will deviate from day to day.” It’s nothing like the predictable, repetitive wave image above.
With temps and dew points climbing, rain is a good bet at some point Tuesday, probably in the afternoon or early evening. I could post model data here, but the variance is so wide that it’s not worth your time.
Wednesday – Better Rain Chance – High 82°
The best chance for rain this week is Wednesday night into Thursday. However, models are showing rain mid-day as well. Temps forecast in the low 80°s reflects belief in cloud cover and rain.
Be prepared for rain and maybe a thunderstorm or two Wednesday.
Mid-Week: Wet & Stormy Pattern Continues
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs