Tonight – Radar trends show storms north, rain south, but we may stay dry (but windy)
Davidson County is included in a Flash Flood Watch until Saturday at 7 PM.
2″ to 4″ additional inches of rain are possible; however, the short-range models have arrived and are suggesting it may not be quite this bad.
Williamson County was the subject of an overnight Special Weather Statement, estimating rainfall in the 1″ to 2″ range today through Saturday.
Caution: the atmosphere is extremely juiced up, so pinpointing the when and where of any rain this weekend is pretty much impossible.
Independence Day – Widespread Showers and Thunderstorms, But Not A Total Washout – Waking Up: 67° High: 81°
If you believe the NAM4 model, the Fourth won’t be all that rainy. It thinks we will see a few showers and storms pop up during the afternoon and evening.
Good news for:
What about fireworks, you say?
Independence Day Evening – Take the rain jacket, wherever you’re going to watch the sky explosions.
If you are heading downtown to watch the fireworks:
The NAM Model has brief showers and storms in the area in the evening. The only threat would be damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
Showers and thunderstorms continue to move south.
Don’t pay too much attention to the location of the showers in this model. The point is knowing that rain and a few thunderstorms may be in the area. They may leave us alone downtown.
Sunday – Widespread Showers and Thunderstorms – Waking Up: 66° High: 83°
Showers will be mainly east of I-65 in the morning and into lunchtime. Showers will pop up in the afternoon and move east across Middle Tennessee.
The Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) shows that we will get about 1″ of rain from Friday through Monday morning. Some neighborhoods will see higher than 1″ of rain.
Extended: Rain chances and a warming trend into Tuesday…
Editor’s Note: here’s video of the tornado in Wilson County yesterday:
Oh, one other thing. it wasn’t the tornado that killed someone last night. Please be careful out there, y’all:
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