Cloudy Skies Through the Evening, Rain Returns Late Tonight.

Current Radar

Increased Shower Activity Late Tonight Through Tomorrow Night

Clouds will continue to hang around into the evening hours. The good news is that showers won’t move in until the overnight hours, so any early evening plans you have should remain fairly dry.

Latest run of the HRRR shows showers arriving after midnight and increasing through the early AM hours. read more

Heavy Rain Mid-Week, Stormy Weekend Possible

Current Radar

Attention Turns To Heavier Rain Wed. PM – Thurs. PM

A surface low is expected to track from the Gulf Coast northward along the Mississippi River, increasing shower/thunderstorm activity across much of the mid-south. Rainfall here in Nashville could accumulate to 1″+ in some spots, considering the strength of this system. No severe weather is expected at this time.

GFS Forecast, Wed. 6PM – Fri. 12PM

Unknown

Let’s compare rainfall totals…the GFS model (only computer guidance) versus the Weather Prediction Center’s human-refined forecast:

GFS Forecasted Rainfall through Friday 12PM…

gfs_apcpn_seus_13

…versus WPC Rainfall Forecast through 6AM Friday

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Bottom line: it appears that 1″ of rain by Friday at noon is likely. Whether some spots receive 1.50″ or greater seems to be based on rainfall rates, which could be fairly steady on Thursday.

Thundery Weekend Weather

NWS Nashville thinks Saturday night through Sunday could be a bit bumpy:

In the ext fcst, An unsettled and mild pattern can be expected through the period, for the most part. A strong storm system will bring showers and some tstm activity Sat nt and Sun. An upper level low will track across the southeastern U.S. by Monday and may bring some cooler temps and some additional rainfall. read more

Light Rain Returns After Dark, Heavier Rain Late Tonight

Current Radar

Here Comes More Rain

Scattered showers are beginning to be seen on our radar, so don’t be surprised if you get a splash of rain through the remainder of the afternoon into the early evening hours.

We are still anticipating for the more dominant line of showers to move in late this evening. read more

Fog Tonight/Overnight; Unseasonably Warm Week Ahead

Another Foggy Night

Locally dense fog remains possible beginning at midnight tonight lasting through the mid-morning hours on Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

The main weather story Sunday night and Monday morning is the rain, ice, and snow in the Plains.

The HRRR model illustrates:

That wintry weather will not come here, but the rain will. The rain ETA has bounced between late Monday night and early Tuesday morning. Bet on Tuesday morning. read more

Rain Chance All Week

Current Radar

Can we get some sun please?

Short answer is not really. We are going to see a little bit of sun tomorrow if everything goes right, but that’s about it. In the short term we’ll see less of a rain chance than we’ve seen in the last 72 hours. Clouds will try to push out to the N and warm air will try to move up from the S. The HRRR below shows limited rain in the very short term. read more

Some Dry Time Tonight, Sun Returns Next Week!

Current Radar

Cloudy, Cooler Night Ahead

Rain is moving through the area now, as projected, and will exit by later this evening. Clouds will continue to hang with us into Sunday, as simulated below:

HRRR Cloud Cover through Sunday AM

Additionally, some cooler air will creep into middle Tennessee later today/tonight as high pressure begins to build in. Winds will become northerly, assisting in the transport of colder temperatures. read more

Meh Rain Chances Tonight, Could See Some Fog Overnight

Current Radar

Temps in the Upper 40s to Low 50s, Watch Out For Fog Tonight

While we were sleeping last night, that cold front we have been talking about passed through our area. This front helped to turn our winds, which are now out of the north/northeast.

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The cold front is currently sitting just to our south and looks to stay there for the next few days as a stationary front. read more

Rain, Warmth, and Clouds Are Here To Stay

Current Radar

Frontal Boundary Takes One Step Forward, Two Steps Back

Update: An approaching cold front will spark shower activity later this afternoon and evening. Expect rain sometime around the late evening commute through the overnight.

Once the weak cold front passes to the south of our two-county area, it will establish itself as a stationary front for a bit across the southern TN border. Highs on Friday afternoon will be in the middle 50s, averaging about 15º cooler than today’s high of 70º. Tomorrow night, warm air surges back into the region ahead of a warm front. Speaking of warm, check out this guinea pig: read more

Soggy Week Continues, Temps Remain Above Average

Current Radar

Rest of the Week, Showers Linger Around

My Forecast - Google Chrome 2017-01-11 15.26.27

This week’s forecast continues to be an interesting one with a chance of rain really each day. Temps will stay much above average and even our overnight temps will remain fairly warm through the rest of the week. read more

Windy Times Continue, Rain Off and On This Week

Hold Onto Your Hats!

In addition to strapping down any loose items outside, you’ll need the rain gear tonight/tomorrow. Latest high resolution guidance shows rain moving through the Davidson/Williamson County area: read more