Current Radar
Dry, warm conditions will continue into the evening hours. Outdoor plans are most definitely a GO today!
Skies will be clear overnight, with lows in the low 70ºs.
A warm front will drag across the area early Friday morning, and may bring a few showers with it:
Current Radar
This evening should be nice, with relatively cooler temperatures and low chances of catching a shower:
Overnight temps will fall all the way to the upper 60ºs! Not exactly chilly, but we’ll take it.
Current Radar
We are still under an enhanced risk for severe weather today through tomorrow morning at 7 AM:
In other terms:
Here’s the categorical risks:
By the numbers, hail and strong winds will remain the biggest risks. The tornado risk has gone down from 5% to 2%, so that’s good news. However, we really can’t completely rule out an isolated tornado. Also, we have been removed from the hatched area that put us in the path of possible 2 inch+ hail. BUT – the main concerns with storms today/tonight are hail (1 inch in diameter+) and damaging winds
Current Radar
Theme: we think the worst of all this will be
But, it’s all coming so close to us that we need to:
The storm system we described earlier today as the “first big hairy line of thunderstorms” continues to move SE on a path to miss us completely:
Current Radar
The weather today and tomorrow will defined by the heat and the storms. So, we’ll dispense with the usual format accordingly.
Afternoon heat index values will range between 100° to 105°.
Current Radar
The heat index will soar past 100° Monday afternoon.
If you must wear denim, choose jorts.
The Storm Prediction Center expects severe thunderstorms to be ongoing tomorrow night to our north (this bad news for the Home Run Derby in Cincinnati).
Current Radar
A short wave will produce showers and thunderstorms for northern parts of Illinois into eastern Tennessee today.
The bulk of the rain is expected to stay east of I-65 today with heavy rainfall, damaging wings, and hail as the main threats. We remain drawn on the edge of the biggest risk area, but this area is often revised by the Storm Prediction Center through day, so it may shift (hopefully away from us).
Current Radar
HRRR was wrong today; afternoon rain/storms didn’t form here (they were southeast of us).
Summer makes liars of weather models.
When the sun sets, any rain chance will set with it.
Current Radar
It’s hot, it’s humid, so much so, everyone unfavorite game of thunderstorm uncertainty is being played. When, where, how bad? Yeah, we don’t know. It’s like guessing where exactly in an about-to-boil big pot the first water bubble will surface.
Current Radar
Storms are approaching the TN/KY border to our north. Check-in on Twitter for updates.
Both the HRRR and NAM4 models have a chance for rain this evening:
Both models are picking up on a frontal boundary sagging south into northern Tennessee. If the boundary can hold together, a few showers and maybe a scattered storm are possible, especially earlier in the evening while the sun is still up.
You must be logged in to post a comment.