Forecast Blogs

3 Days of Strong/Severe Storm Potential

Current Radar

Today – Scattered Strong/Severe Thunderstorms Possible – High 94°

A short wave will produce showers and thunderstorms for northern parts of Illinois into eastern Tennessee today.


The bulk of the rain is expected to stay east of I-65 today with heavy rainfall, damaging wings, and hail as the main threats. We remain drawn on the edge of the biggest risk area, but this area is often revised by the Storm Prediction Center through day, so it may shift (hopefully away from us).

We will continue to keep you updated on Twitter @NashSevereWx.

Here is the HRRR’s take:

As the day progresses a complex of showers with embedded thunderstorms could clip eastern reaches around 4:00 pm. Note that an estimated time of arrival.


If the storms miss us, the heat index will probably reach 103° today at 4:00pm.


There will be brief pop up showers and thunderstorms lingering in our area after 5:00 pm through the overnight.

Monday – Better Storm Chance – High 96°

The heat index will reach the triple digits again.

We are included in a slight risk for severe weather potential on Monday.


The main concern is the afternoon around 7:00 pm because of daytime heating and storm uplift potential.  A line of showers and thunderstorms will move through Kentucky into Tennessee LATE afternoon into the evening. We can expect showers and thunderstorms in the evening. The bulk of the rain will move through overnight on Monday into Tuesday morning.

TuesdayMorning Showers and Thunderstorms – High 93°

The morning commute looks like a wet one! Stay safe on roads as showers move through our area and have the headlights on. Here is the NAM in the AM hours:


We are included in an enhanced risk for Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms possible mainly after lunchtime.


Extended: Warm, muggy, and showers continue through the week…

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Categories: Forecast Blogs