The warm front never got here today. This eliminated the severe weather threat. Thursday will be quiet. Most of the day Friday should be quiet. Next event incoming Friday night. Let’s talk about it. It’s kinda meh, maybe.
Category: Featured Blog
Severe Storms Possible Today + Starting Off The New Year With Severe Weather?
SPC places a greater severe weather chance south of I-40. The majority of our counties are still included in the slight risk category for today’s severe thunderstorms.
The main threat is damaging straight line winds (60+ mph) with a 5% chance of damaging winds/gusts within 25 miles of you. A tornado can’t be ruled out in this situation with a 5% probability of a tornado within 25 miles of you. Small hail is possible with a 5% chance of hail with a diameter of 1 inch or greater within 25 miles of you.
Wednesday’s Severe Weather Potential, An Update, Presented With Hope, But Without Agenda (mostly?)
Severe Weather Possible Wednesday, Saturday, and About the Rumors of Sunday Snow
Wet Week Ahead + Severe Wx Potential
I Wrote This About Wednesday and NYE/NYD and then a Weather Phenomena That The Editor Bleeped
Below the HRRR model shows rain off and on through Tuesday night, not much, mostly Monday night and Tuesday, no washout.

Then Wednesday even more rain as seen by the Euro model below.

Now this may be a washout. Perhaps even thunderstorms but the severe threat is more likely well south of us as depicted by SPC:
Rain on the Way
No rain today.
Rain chances increase Monday and Tuesday. HRRR shows spotty showers Monday afternoon and evening. Looks like on & off rain rather than a steady one. Nothing to worry about.

Tuesday’s rain chances look better, especially Tuesday night. Our first weather maker of the week will bring more steady rain Tuesday night into Wednesday. See HRRR below:
Watching - But Not Worrying About - Wednesday

Winds will calm down this afternoon and tonight. 76° today would be the record high for Christmas, set 5 years ago.
Few raindrops may cross by tonight. Inconsequential. Alter no plans. HRRR model:

Monday and Tuesday may bring showers. Models think just rain, off and on, more Tuesday than Monday. Nothing to worry about either day.
Windy, & About Those Rumors of Bad Weather Next Week
Hello, dear reader, Merry Christmas Eve. My father is in the other room, appalled while watching The Office for the first time, comedy is occurring here.
But first.
Did you spend Eighty Thousand Dollars on a Christmas vehicle? Big red bow on it? Got plans for a cheesy reveal featuring your perfect teethed fam? And you hatched and executed said plan without saying anything to your spouse about it? Well if you have that thing parked for the Big Reveal near a roof sheltering children, the wind is coming for you my friend, strong enough to blow four of Santa’s reindeer and the front right side of his sled through its rear window, windblown by an act of justice, comedy, or tragedy, and a moment of introspection surely awaits.
Warming Trend Starts Today
Who’s ready for a warm Christmas. Despite dropping below freezing last night, our warming trend starts now and is expected to stay until the end of the year.
Our highest recorded temperature for December is currently 79 degrees, and we are expected to come fairly close to that on Saturday. Maybe Santa will bring us a new record.