Lots of sun today. We’ve hit 73° in my back yard and 75° at BNA. These clear skies and warm temps continue. Tomorrow, the 80’s return.
Beyond Saturday
The blue skies and sun continue through Sunday morning. Clouds begin moving in around lunch and by sundown Sunday night begins our chance for rain and storms. read more
Today will be around 72º with plenty of mid-day sun.
Storms and Rain on Saturday and Sunday?
Low pressure moves from west to east Saturday. Showers may start as early as midnight tonight, and will get wider in coverage through the morning. Strongest winds will be around mid-day and stick around through Sunday. read more
Sunny skies for days as high pressure abounds today and the majority of this week.. High temperatures during the day will stay in the low to mid 50’s, lows around freezing. Except for a chance for showers overnight on Tuesday, we’ll be dry. read more
Today began with a good misting of rain for many of us.
That rain has pulled out and taken some of the cloud cover with it, but it won’t last long.
Here is a wide angle view of the radar at 12:35pm showing more light showers similar to this morning on our SW doorstep.
This won’t ruin any plans, but it will make the roads wet again, and usher in some cooler temps while it’s overhead. Bring a rain jacket to the honkey tonks tonight.
Sunday Rain/Storm Chances
An upper low will deepen as it swings off the Rockies and through the central part of the country. Southerly surface flow will pick up ahead of this system encouraging temperatures to warm into the
mid to upper 60s again on Sunday. PWATS are still running very high for the time of the year. Values of 1.5 inches or higher could be possible through the early morning hours on Sunday to Sunday night.
Models have shifted the axis of heaviest precip to
the west, over portions of west Tennessee and western Kentucky. However, this axis could easily wobble east or west over the next 24 hours as we see how the system evolves. For now, expect anywhere from 1 to 2 and a half inches of rain in Middle
Tennessee.read more
Today’s skies are forecasted to clear, with mild temps and more sunshine. I wouldn’t be surprised if we exceed our forecasted high of 51º if these clouds give way.
Overnight low is down to 36º as clouds move back in overnight and trap the heat like a fluffy comforter.
Saturday
Saturday’s temps will be may a few degrees warmer, up to 54º. However, the could that moved in overnight will stick around. Call it mostly cloudy by afternoon. These clouds set the stage for our next chance of rain.
Rain? Model Roulette
Sometime the best models we can use to predict rain have disagreements. Actually, it’s more than sometimes. It’s something we struggle with when doing blogs like this, and something the National Weather Service is dealing with this disagreement today.
Most of
the current iterations are giving southern and southeastern Middle
TN some showers by Sunday. The problem is, the GFS is dry, the Euro
is kinda wet and the NAM is giving all of the mid-state a deluge.read more
Beautiful skies and lots of sunshine. Temps in the low 50’s this afternoon. 39 tonight.
Downright nice day all around. Get outside and enjoy it. Brittney is excited about it too.
Chance for showers?
There’s a slight chance of showers late tonight and through tomorrow. That chance will be much more than slight as we head toward afternoon Friday. This will set the stage for a wet weekend for all of us.
Digging a little deeper
NWS-Nashville had this to say about precipitation this weekend.
As evening hours progress tonight, the dry weather pattern since
the late evening hours on Tue night will commence to ending. It
will be replaced with an overall wet weather pattern established
across mid state region through at least next Monday night.read more
We have some fall weather on tap until the next disturbance moves NE into our area Thursday late. Temps in the mid 50s both today and tomorrow. Really great days for outdoor activities. But it doesn’t last… read more