Apparently so.
Still no meaningful rain chances in the next 5 days. By next Wednesday or Thursday rain chances will start to creep back in, but those chances are low, as the NBM is only spitting out 10-20% chances.
Hot temperatures are back and here to stay for a while. Today and Friday high temps will be around 90°, flirting with 100° Monday thru Wednesday.
Humidity will be reasonable, so heat index values will likely stay below Heat Advisory criteria (105°+) but that could change.
We’ve been blessed with below-average temperatures the past few days; some may have needed a light jacket this morning with a low of 58 degrees. Unfortunately, temps will be right back up around-normal Thursday, then remaining above-average for the remainder of the forecast.
Today and Wednesday will be fantastic, below-average temps + dewpoints in the low to mid 50s = great outdoor weather.
Temperatures will begin their climb Thursday, returning to the 90s by Friday. Dewpoints will also be on the rise back into the low 60s.
Lower dewpoints and lower temperatures will be with us thru Wednesday, a much-needed break from the heat.
Starting Thursday, temperatures will begin to climb back up and end back up in the mid 90s by the weekend. Dewpoints will also reach back into the low to mid 60s, making those mid 90s feel even worse.
Maybe a few lingering showers tonight, but most of us will be left dry.
Temperatures will be below average for this time of the year for the first half of the week, slowly creeping back to up to around average for the second half of the week.
Although higher probs exist to our NE, both of our counties are outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or hail within 25 miles today. We are not included in any tornado probabilities.
Models have had a very hard time handling how today will progress. Sooo embracing the uncertainty (as always) will be in play today.
The latest HRRR model shows the activity missing us to the south and east, leaving us dry…
Most models think a cluster(s) of showers/storms will be moving thru around rush hour Friday AM. The HRRR model thinks it’ll look something like:
Models are in fairly good agreement that these should be below severe limits. Although heavy rain, lightning and gusty winds will still be possible, just not really concerned about this – forecast could change.
After a dry stretch, rain chances will return. Very low rain chances exist Wednesday and Thursday (~10%), with “better” chances on Friday and Saturday (40 – 50%). Most likely in the afternoon and evening, more specifics on timing will become clearer in the next couple of days.
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