Rainy & Windy Night; Rain Chances Sprinkled Thru the Week; Saturday/Marathon Update

Through 3 PM, 1″ of rain has fallen at BNA.

Rain Continues Tonight

Brief break from the rain as a dry slot in this system rotates through / Radar 3:13 PM pic.twitter.com/bs2SMj6sg9

— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) April 22, 2018 read more

Rain Today Looks Like a Washout, Windy Tonight; Week Ahead Looks OK, Next Weekend/Marathon Outlook

Radar thru 6:32 AM shows rain inching closer to us.

You can update this radar on our radar/camera/tweets page here.

Washout Rain Today

All models predict rain to work east and wash us out today.

The HRRR model thinks it’ll rain from mid-morning until 10 PM (and likely longer; this model only runs thru 10 PM): read more

Freeze Warning Monday Morning, Freeze Watch Tuesday Morning, Decent Saturday Ahead?

Few Meaningless Sprinklers/Snow Showers Overnight & Early Tomorrow

We may see light rain or a few tiny snowflakes sprinkle windshields tonight, overnight, and early in the morning. Here’s the HRRR model:

Neither accumulation nor impacts expected.

Monday Morning Freeze Warning

This warning is effective from 3 AM to 8 AM Monday. read more

Colder: Freezing Temps Possible Monday Morning. Warm Up Tuesday. Next Big Rain Chance Next Weekend.

Cold Front Has Arrived

The front is very slowly pushing the rain east. Radar thru 8:25 AM:

Colder Sunday

High temps only in the mid-50°s.

Also, windy. Gusts to 20 MPH will drop wind chills into the 30°s tonight.

Light Rain Possible Tonight

The HRRR model thinks a light, cold rain may freckle windshields tonight. read more

Rain & Storms Saturday

Rain is likely Saturday morning, afternoon, and evening. How much and when remains uncertain. Let’s get to it.

ETA

Depends on the model you believe. But we think the storms will arrive early Saturday morning. read more

Nicer Week Ahead! Except of course for Saturday.

Warmer, Drier Today

Temps around sunrise are below freezing. Some areas are in the mid/upper 20°s.

Temps will rise into the low/mid 50°s as clouds arrive this afternoon.

Our air is really dry. No rain expected today.

Overnight Rain Chances

A shortwave will cross by after midnight. It may drop us a little rain, but not enough to rain stuff out. Here’s the NAM3 model: read more

Significant Threat of Damaging Straight-Line Winds, Hail Threat, Smaller Tornado Threat, ETA 8-10 PM

Mesoscale Discussion In Effect

Dewpoints are already over 60° in Middle Tennessee. Temps are rising above 70°. A strong cold front sits out west with its eye on us tonight. The coming collision of cold, dry air slamming into our warm, moist airmass will happen overhead tonight. read more

Rainy Monday; Warm-Windy Tuesday; Strong/Severe Storms Tuesday Night; Frost Early Thursday

Clouds will gather tonight, forming light rain in the morning. Shortly before lunch, some of the rain may be heavy, at least that’s according to the HRRR model:

A few more showers are possible through the day Monday. It may be enough rain to rain out Monday night games. That will depend on the field. read more

Rainy Morning, Clouds & Off/On Rain Thru Monday, Storms Tuesday Night, & a Predictable Saturday

As I write this, light rain has arrived.

The HRRR model thinks rain will leave before lunch, leaving clouds behind for the rest of the day, with a chance of a passing shower or two by late afternoon:

read more

Cloudy, Rainy Week Ahead

Headlines

1. Heavy rain showers at times, mainly Tuesday night through Thursday, with some flooding possible.

2. Cloudy all week.

3. No severe thunderstorms expected.

We may see a passing shower or two early this morning. HRRR model thru 8 AM: read more