A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect until 7 PM Monday.

NWS-Nashville explains:

Models are indicating another batch of heavy rain and storms moving across the area tonight and tomorrow, and with the ground now wet and saturated flooding will become more likely with any additional rainfall. read more

Mid-level water vapor infrared imagery shows moisture streaming in from Arkansas and West Tennessee.

Radar looked like this as of 8:30 AM:

It’s going to rain more today.

This morning, in its Hazardous Weather Outlook, NWS-Nashville wrote “there is low confidence on the exact location of the heaviest rain, [but] training storms will increase the flooding risk.” read more

Clouds from Florence’s western edge produced afternoon light rain for a few of us.

A few more light showers are possible tonight and overnight as Florence lifts toward our northeast.

Here’s the HRRR model: read more

At sunrise, Tropical Depression Florence was centered in South Carolina with maximum sustained winds of 35 MPH. Its western edge extends into Nashville and Williamson County.

Today Florence should weaken more and hopefully Finally Move. It’s forecast to move north of Atlanta then north over East Tennessee today. We’ll be on its weaker west side, bringing us more clouds, winds, and possibly rain. The official forecast track: read more

Rain has departed. We got between 0.5″ and 1″, depending on your location.

Up next: cooler temps! Lower humidity!

Cooler air is on the way, as seen here Sunday at 4 PM:

Clouds are expected Monday. They’ll be slow to clear out. But check out the cool temps! read more

A cold front will move east across Middle Tennessee today, bringing rain and awesome temps with it.

Rain is already underway this morning at 7:28 AM.

Rain should be off and on. Expect heavier rain at times, especially this morning. read more

Today is turning out “Sweaty not Wetty.” High pressure defeated any effort to sprout storms. A few defiant cells may sprout over the next few hours. We’ll tweet them @NashSevereWx (and here) if they do. read more

It’s hot today but not sure it’s a “scorcher.”

We wrote “Sweaty Not Wetty” last night only to wake up this morning to HRRR model runs popping off isolated late afternoon/early evening downpours and thunderstorms: read more

Labor Day

The Storm Prediction Center does not think we will see Labor Day thunderstorms:

The Weather Prediction Center forecasts for us no Labor Day rain:

NWS-Nashville agrees, figuring only a 10% probability of precipitation (black arrow) and betting no rain will actually hit the pavement (red arrow): read more

Sunday

It’s possible an isolated shower or storm will pop up this afternoon. The HRRR model thinks so:

As usual for summer, shower/storm locations are unknown. Buy a lottery ticket and hope for the best. read more