Monday Night Damaging Winds/Tornado Risk: Avocado Probabilities, ETA, Caveats, My Four Things Theory

Today

It’s going to get breezy this afternoon, even windy, with gusts up to 25 MPH.

High today 64°.

Afternoon rain is expected. It should cross the Tennessee River around lunchtime and arrive here around late afternoon, aka, around the time it’s getting dark. The HRRR model illustrates: read more

Risk of Damaging Winds, Tornadoes, Maybe Hail Monday Night. ETAs & Probability Details Here.

(If you read this morning’s blog, the text in blue is new)

Saturday was our last day of regular daylight because:

Your 25 Hour Sunday Looks Shabby

Sunup at 6:12 AM. Temp 48°. Afternoon high 65°.

Sundown at 4:48 PM. Four forty eight. read more

Severe Weather Concerns for Monday Night: What, When, Probabilities, Preparation, Panic Levels

I don’t want to bury the lead about Monday night’s severe weather concern, but I will, because chronology prevents confusion.

Today

Fog has been a pre-dawn problem in spots. It should lift around sunrise. read more

Colder! OK Weekend. Maybe Some Election Day Weather Problems

The cold front is pushing through this late afternoon, and with it, some light showers.

That green line of light rain to our west, seen below through 2:48 PM, marks the cold front.

Behind that, colder temps! The HRRR model illustrates the arrival of colder air through the night and overnight. read more

An Afternoon of Light Rain, then Colder. Nice Weekend. Election Day Storms?

The cold front causing all this rain still has not yet pushed through. Only 0.36″ so far in BNA’s official rain. This system is underperforming model data. Only about 0.5″ total expected. read more

No Clear Answer on Rain/No Rain for Wednesday Night Trick or Treating

Monday and Tuesday will be great. Low 40°s early, warming to 66° Monday and 75° Tuesday. No rain either day. Tuesday night will be breezy and mild, a fact you may find important by the time you get to the bottom of this page. read more

Rainy Friday? Yeah, Maybe/Probably. From Hurricane Willa.

Tonight will be several degrees warmer with lows dipping to around 40 degrees. By Tuesday morning a weak dry front will dip into the mid state, but will really only bring a change in wind direction. Temperatures are expected to rise into the mid to upper 60s by the afternoon hours making for a pleasant fall day. Wednesday will see similar conditions as light northerly winds and mostly sunny skies continue. read more

Locate Windshield Ice Scrapers, Freeze Warning Monday 3 AM to 8 AM

Locate your windshield scraper. You’ll probably need that scraper.

Also cover plants you don’t want freezing temps to kill.

Freeze Warning, Nashville and Will Co., Monday 3 AM to 8 AM

The low is 33° at BNA, 2° colder than last night. Local areas should be colder. Frost is likely with light winds. read more

Freeze Warning Monday 3 AM to 8 AM, Then Boring Fall Weather; Next Rain Chances

Cover or shelter loved plants and locate your windshield scraper.

The deal with that Saturday night wind

It was a blast of reinforcing cold northern air. During the 10 PM hour winds hit 35 MPH at BNA. They relaxed after midnight and colder air raced in. BNA hit 35° before sunrise. read more

Colder!

First, this happened today. Apologies to anyone who read all 100,000 of these.

This is our 100,000th tweet. Below is tweet #1 from August 10, 2009.

Nothing has changed. https://t.co/naWEDdh6YP

— NashSevereWx (@NashSevereWx) October 15, 2018 read more