Tornado Anniversary (& siren rant!); Rain Tomorrow; Travel Weather

Tornado Anniversary!

One year ago today, at 4:31 PM, a 200 yard wide EF-0 tornado touched down just north of I-24 in Joelton. It ran parallel to the interstate for 2.34 miles with no injuries. Twenty-two minutes later another tornado touched down at the Villages of Long Hunter subdivision in Antioch, crossed Percy Priest Lake and churned 10.93 miles into an EF-1. No injuries, but there was property damage. read more

Cold Rain Wednesday, Chances for Sleet & Snow Late Wednesday-Thursday

We had a Blerg (No snow √, No sun √, Temps under 40° √) today, our first this fall.

Tomorrow, things get worse.

A cold rain is coming Wednesday, with the possibility of wintry mix/snow very late Wednesday into Thursday. read more

Cold, Windy, Wet. Colder & Windier Tonight & Tuesday.

Gross. It’s been a cold rainy day with temps stuck in the 40s.

those S of I-40 my have seen a half inch of rain today. However much was in your rain bucket, it was enough to make it feel pretty nope outside. Drizzle/fog will continue overnight. read more

Rain (yup) or Snow (nah) This Week? Tuesday Blerg?

The afternoon NWS-Nashville forecast removed Tuesday and Thursday snow chances for Nashville and Williamson County.

This morning’s comic strip forecast:

This afternoon’s comic strip forecast: read more

Two Meh Wintry Precip/sNOw Chances This Week. Blerg Alert Tuesday!

Tornadoes were the topic one week ago. Today, snow chances. Don’t get excited.

Rain Monday

Rain is likely Monday morning.

ETA: after the Monday morning rush-hour, according to the extended HRRR model: read more

Tornado Threat Over for Nashville & Williamson Co.

The tornado threat for Nashville and Williamson Co is over.

We’re pretty tired.

Nice weather for Election Day.

A new forecast will be written here sometime tomorrow morning.

Rest of the Week

Rain is likely late Thursday.

Freezing temps likely early Saturday and Sunday mornings. read more

Tornado Watch Until 3 AM

This Tornado Watch is in effect until 3 AM, although we think the storms will be long gone by 3 AM.

The tornado and damaging wind concern will exist in a long, main line of storms. That storm line will be to Nashville and Will Co as early as 9:30 PM, perhaps as late as midnight. read more

ETAs Looking Iffier / Damaging Wind, Tornado Probabilities / Uncertainties - It’s Still All About That CAPE (no treble)

–Updates in blue, below.–Note this likely will be our last long-form blog update for today–Additional information will be posted to Twitter which can be found here and/or here even if you don’t have a Twitter account. read more

Line of Strong/Severe Thunderstorms Expected Late Tonight: ETAs/Probabilities/Uncertainties - It’s All About That CAPE

This morning my friend Melissa asked “when do I need to pay attention to this?”

Tonight, Melissa. Tonight.

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will form and move from northwest to southeast across Middle Tennessee tonight. All models show this. Below is one, the HRRR, one of my favorite weather models: read more

Damaging Wind/Tornado Threat Monday Night. ETAs & Probabilities. And Why “this is not a slam dunk event.”

(If you read our forecast this morning, the new information on tomorrow night’s severe storm threat is in blue).

Cold Rain

Official NashSevereWx Correspondents dispatched to Memphis this morning confirm the rain falling now is cold. read more