About Last Night, Clipper System & Eclipse Viewing, Warm Up, Rain, More Meh Snow Chances

Winds dried wet roads last night. Throughout last night’s dusting, winds blew between 13-17 MPH, gusts 25 to 35 MPH.

Some Middle Tennesseans saw snow. Clarksville’s emergency manager reported 1.2″. Sumner County CoCoRahs observer near Portland logged 1.0″. Same for Greenbrier in Robertson County. read more

Saturday’s Heavy Rain, Saturday Night’s Snow & Ice Potential

In 48 hours a heavy rain event may turn to snow, possibly cause a flash freeze, and I can’t stop myself from doing this special forecast.

There was inspiration.

I went to the gym tonight. Got home – TMI Alert!!! – got in the shower, water was warm, then suddenly all the hot water ran out but I was still sudsy and had to suffer shivering through the cold water, which I flipped off then on, then got out of there. Fast. read more

Our Answer to the Question: When’s It Gonna Snow?

I don’t know if it’s going to snow this winter. Or if it does, when it will. Or how much we will get.

(Neither does your 10-45 day forecast on some weather apps, by the way. For more on that see these football analogy tweets, or just keep reading). read more

Cloudy Start, Mid-Week Warm-Up, then Rain (Storms? Snow? Unlikely)

A very light shower is possible today, but probably not. More likely mostly cloudy, temps in the upper 40°s. Those high temps are normal for January 13.

HRRR model illustrates showers wandering across Middle Tennessee: read more

Rain Monday. Cooler Wednesday. Unsatisfying Words About Snow.

Rain should be here Monday.

HRRR model:

NAM3 model:

When: Although a few morning showers possible, the main rain event begins around 3-4 PM and should end a few hours later. ETA may need adjustment tomorrow morning, but models today have been consistent with these ETAs and ETDs. read more

Three Warm Days Ahead. Light Rain Tomorrow.

Five years ago today, January 6, 2014, 4° was the low and 20° was the high.

Today, most of the US woke up above freezing. Where were the below-freezing temps? See the purple, below: the mountains out west and the upper Midwest. read more

Rain Wednesday & Friday

Most people’s New Year’s Day is ruined by New Year’s Eve alcohol. Mine was ruined by two of these.

Had one at 3 PM, second one at 9 PM. I could not go to sleep until 2:30 AM. This morning I experienced a sleep-induced nerd hangover. read more

Tornado Watch Canceled; Just Rain Mid-Week

The Tornado Watch and storm threat is over.

Localized flooding with a rise in area creeks, streams, and rivers has been the legacy of the departed storm line. There were also a few wind-related damage reports. Check out a sampling of reports on #tSpotter. Or just this one: read more

Tornado Watch Until 7 PM. ETAs & Probabilities:

From the Storm Prediction Center:

Primary threats include…

  • A couple tornadoes possible
  • Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

A Watch covers a large area and means Be Ready, conditions are favorable for a tornado.

A Warning covers a smaller area and means Immediately Take Action/Shelter, a tornado is occurring or imminent inside the warned area. read more

Details on the Today’s Straight-Line Wind & Tornado Probabilities.

A Wind Advisory starts at 9 AM and ends at 6 PM. Winds will gust into the 30 MPH range, with scattered occasional gusts up to 45 MPH. With heavy rain last night, sick or shallow-rooted trees may come down should one of those 45 MPH gusts find them. These are winds independent of storms coming later today. read more