No Christmas or Day After Christmas rain.

Rain possible Friday but I’m unimpressed. NAM3 model shows a few weak inconsequential rainers:

Euro shows a few light rainshowers in spots:

This should not deter your Friday outdoor plans. read more

2019 is already the 8th wettest year on record (since 1871).

By tomorrow night we should claim the 5th spot.

Training Rain, Concern About Local Creeks & Streams Monday Night.

Training rain is repeated areas of rain. Heavy rain is the train cars. Trains follow the tracks. read more

Light off and on showers today. HRRR model:

Not a washout, rain under 0.1″.

Fog

Fog between midnight and 6 AM in the “usual spots” near bodies of water and low lying areas. Low 37° with a dewpoint 35°, so freezing fog isn’t expected right now, but it’s close. Fog should mix out by sunrise. read more

45 today, 27 Thursday morning, up to 53 Thursday afternoon, all clear/sunny.

We’re 15.41″ above normal for rain this year. Superwet February 2019 is the main reason for that.

More rain coming.

Rain window opens Thursday night and closes Saturday afternoon. Off and on mostly. Cold too, lows mid/upper 30s, highs around 50. Rain is most likely Friday afternoon and Saturday morning, but it could fall at any time during that window. read more

Today snow fell at 10,000 feet and 5,000 feet and even at 2,000 feet but before it could reach us on earth along came the Dry Air Monster. He ate it all up.

Here’s how the Dry Air Monster operates.

Suppose you’re standing at a sink holding a hand towel and a shot glass of water. Put the hand towel between the shot glass and the sink. Then pour the water onto the towel. The water is absorbed into the towel. The water never makes it into the sink. read more

Read this entire post to be well informed. If you don’t want to read the whole thing, probably better off not reading it at all.

It starts as off and on rain Tuesday morning.

HRRR model, 0z run.

Rain, sleet, and snow mix in Tuesday morning. read more

Why Another Blog Today?

New model data arrived. NWS-Nashville made maps you need to see for Tuesday. Forecast is evolving. Snow forecast is trending upwards but forecast confidence remains low.

All quotes from NWS-Nashville. read more

Winds 28 MPH today, high 53°, perfect for kite enthusiasts.

Clouds increase this afternoon. A light shower is possible late this afternoon/early tonight.

Tonight temps drop into the 40°s with wind chills in the 30°s. read more

Step out the front door like a ghost into a fog where no one notices the contrast between rain and birds.

And in between the moon and you, the angels get a better view of the crumbling difference between models wrong and right. read more

PREPARE FOR LIGHT RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT

Timing: mid/late afternoon into the evening.

Confidence is not great. Not totally sure it’ll make it to us but it probably will. Uncertainty courtesy of the Dry Air Monster who gotta eat. read more