It was one supercell producing at least two strong tornadoes.
Our tornado was rated EF-3. Ratings refer to the highest damage reported; this one had EF-0, EF-1, EF-2, and EF-3 damage at various points, but it’s called “EF-3” because that got the highest rating. EF-3 damage was in Germantown, Donelson, and East Nashville. Here’s the zoom on Nashville/Davidson County:
No concerns for any outdoor weekend activities.
Total rainfall Monday around 1″.
There is a chance for some strong storms on Monday and Tuesday with instability on the rise, but heavy rainfall is the main concern.
Up to 51° Wednesday afternoon. No rain. All eyes on Thursday morning when a band of light, cold rain mixed with snow should move in. It will arrive Thursday morning and there will not be much of it. Best rain/snow mix potential is in Will Co but although less likely in Nashville, it’s possible in Nashville. We may not see any precip at all because the system is weak and passing mostly south of us.
Our severe weather risk is over, but flooding concerns remain. NWS-Nashville issued an Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for the middle of Nashville through 8:45 PM.
Light rain will linger then end sometime before midnight. We’re watching local creek and river gauges and will tweet any flood warnings issued by NWS-Nashville. It can take hours for flooding to occur.
More rain is coming, off and on today (Wednesday), most of it this afternoon and tonight.
Between 1.25″ and 1.5″ expected through Thursday morning. NWS-Nashville issued an Areal Flood Watch initially for Nashville. Will Co was included in the Watch this morning.
