No chance of rain today or Monday, unusually low humidity both days. Heat and humidity return Tuesday. Humidity gets sticky Wednesday, but we don’t think it’ll rain until Wednesday night at the earliest. Temps here:
Straight line winds today dropped trees, tore siding from the side of a house, chipped off shingles, and caused other property damage. The damage is everywhere across Davidson and Williamson Counties. Check our replies for more.
Until early afternoon.
After that, it gets dicey. And BTW, humid today. One of the most humid afternoons of the year so far. Low 60s dewpoints.
But about the storms:
Outdoor activities and events may need additional lead time to enact safety procedures to prevent significant impacts.
Excellent next 4 days.
Rain today will be east of us.
It won’t rain here until late Sunday night into Monday.
Sweaty humidity Sunday and Monday.
Severe weather Monday? Nah. Probably just rain.
Look for off and on rain Monday through Wednesday. Very little each day.
Rain and storms are expected around lunch into early afternoon.
HRRR model thinks it’ll arrive between 1 PM and 2 PM.
Lightning is possible but unlikely. About 0.2″ or less expected:
These storms will feed off a narrow strip of storm fuel. But — severe weather is not expected.
Yesterday’s Wilson/Smith Co. Tornado.
Just before 4:45 PM, the line that came through north Williamson County/south Davidson County tapped higher instability and slightly more favorable tornadomaking ingredients.
A surface low is passing by, strengthening winds. Expect 40 MPH wind gusts this morning, afternoon, and early evening, then relaxing later tonight.
Something is up.
That something is rain and storms breaking out just after lunch, then scattering and moving east through the afternoon, ending just before midnight. Like this:
A brief shower possible early tonight (Wednesday).
The real rain event begins around midnight. Here it is from midnight to 5 AM Thursday:
NWS-Nashville thinks more than a half inch of rain. Storms are possible with shear off the charts (again) but zero instability (again) so no tornado or hail concerns.
Tornadoes (again) are the worry along and south of I-20 today across LA, MS, AL, and GA.
We won’t get tornadoes. We’ll get some rain. Yesterday we thought we’d get 0.5″ or more. Today we think 0.2″ or less. Two reasons.
The main storm line departed at 5:15 PM. It caused a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for 60 MPH winds.
No Tornado Watch and no Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Davidson or Williamson County.
The following is for Davidson and Williamson Counties only. Those south and east of us may end up dealing with a much different situation tonight and overnight.
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