A surface low is passing by, strengthening winds. Expect 40 MPH wind gusts this morning, afternoon, and early evening, then relaxing later tonight.
Something is up.
That something is rain and storms breaking out just after lunch, then scattering and moving east through the afternoon, ending just before midnight. Like this:
A brief shower possible early tonight (Wednesday).
The real rain event begins around midnight. Here it is from midnight to 5 AM Thursday:
NWS-Nashville thinks more than a half inch of rain. Storms are possible with shear off the charts (again) but zero instability (again) so no tornado or hail concerns.
The main storm line departed at 5:15 PM. It caused a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for 60 MPH winds.
No Tornado Watch and no Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Davidson or Williamson County.
The following is for Davidson and Williamson Counties only. Those south and east of us may end up dealing with a much different situation tonight and overnight.
Middle Tennessee is under an enhanced risk of severe storms on Sunday, mainly in the late afternoon and evening. Damaging straight line winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes are all possible.
NWS-Nashville
I’m going to trust you. If you’re going to skim this, don’t read it at all because you’ll miss important details.
Tonight’s storm used just about all the storm fuel, leaving nothing behind to power a second line coming in later. We think the second line will be weak. Maybe some lightning, but mostly just rain. Davidson County’s Tornado Watch has been cancelled. Will Co’s Tornado Watch will probably be cancelled before 2 AM.
