Wet New Year’s Eve.

2020 began with heavy rain. 2020 will end with heavy rain.

First, a minor event tonight.

Light rain tonight, ETA a few hours before midnight. Not a heavy event (that’s Thursday). Tonight’s rain will be off and on, scattered, and should end around sunrise Monday. Was hardly worth mentioning but here it is. HRRR model below. read more

Happy Festivus Everybody! Updates on Wind, Rain, Snow, Flurries, Cold. Y’all. The Cold!

Oh, no, Sir. Festivus is all too real.

George Costanza

Wind

37 MPH was the top reported hourly BNA wind gust as of 6 PM. Gusts 40-45 MPH are possible until midnight. A Wind Advisory remains in effect until then. Winds will blow from the south. read more

Flocked Once, Flocked Again? Probs Not This Week, a discussion.

Local CoCoRahs observers needed a 1 inch long ruler to log November 30 snow totals:

College Grove FTW. 0.8″!

Got flocked.

November 30, 2020

The Middle Tennessee snow winner was:

Jamestown and surrounding communities (Fentress Co) were the winners yesterday with 3-4 inches of snow. read more

Rain This Morning, Possible Storms w/ Low Probability Damaging Wind/Tornado Threat This Afternoon.

So far so good. Just rain this morning. We think the strong/severe threat — while pretty low — will be late this afternoon.

Here’s the radar before 8 AM:

The wind is howling. A Wind Advisory remains effective, BNA gusted to 38 MPH and a 40+ MPH gust is possible today. read more

It’s Not Time To Panic/Party but Behold a Blog about Tornado and Snow Chances.

NWS-Nashville writes a technical long form forecast discussion twice a day, every day, 365 days a year. In some years 366 days a year. One is published sometime between 2 AM and 4 AM, another 12 hours later. These long form discussions cover the next seven days. NWS-Nashville is the essential weather infrastructure in Middle Tennessee. Without them, the entire weather enterprise collapses. #Thanksgiving. read more

Mo Instability Mo Problems, No Instability No Problems.

36° expected Tuesday morning. Many of us will hit freezing around sunrise. But you’re not here for a temp forecast.

SPC hasn’t updated their storm outlook for Wednesday’s potential storm event since this morning. The next update is due Tuesday morning at 1 AM. read more

What to expect after Laura leaves.

Laura, a review.

Just before 5 PM what’s left of Tropical Depression Laura was centered just north of the KY/TN line, moving east and dragging heavy rain and gusty winds along with it.

Laura was not cool today. Here’s what happened. read more

Evening Update on Laura: Timing, Hazards, & Details.

At 6:54 PM Hurricane Laura was seen from space in the remaining sunlight, moving NW at 15 MPH, maximum sustained winds 145 MPH.

Those are 145 MPH sustained winds; the March 3 Nashville tornado peaked at these speeds. Hurricane Laura will ram through Louisiana like a wide EF-3 tornado, carving a huge damage swath. read more

Incoming Humidity, & What Marco May (or not) Mean To Us.

We live in a world where Aunt Becky has gone to jail and consecutive hurricanes are about to enter the Gulf and there is a pandemic and there are injustices everywhere and now you need a cup of coffee to read these words because this forecast is more complicated and frustrating than Mrs. Rich would be reading this run on sentence. I had Mrs. Rich for seventh grade English and God Bless Her, she tried really hard. read more

You’ll be disappointed to read an intern did not write this.

The Intern who was supposed to write this is rescuing a family of kittens from a tree. A ladder, something about a standoff, and tuna is involved. So far no one is blaming the tree, but before I could get details, the intern had to go. read more