More Storms Likely By Mid/Late Afternoon

Posted on Tuesday, May 4, 2021 @ 7:23 amTuesday, May 4, 2021 @ 7:23 am by David

Embracing uncertainty is hard, y’all. The HRRR model was hot garbage last night. It timed the morning line well but completely missed on overnight rain. It thought there would be a lot of it, and there was none of it. read more

48 Hours: Several Rounds of Storms Possible. Some Strong or Severe.

Posted on Monday, May 3, 2021 @ 9:12 amMonday, May 3, 2021 @ 9:12 am by David

Most of Will Co is under a Flash Flood Warning this morning.

Another 1″ to 2″ is expected as rain “trains” over the area. Training rain is like a train, it runs over the same tracks. Those in the Flash Flood Warning box above are the tracks. read more

Get Your NOAA Weather Radio & Wake Me Up Apps Ready

Posted on Sunday, May 2, 2021 @ 9:47 amSunday, May 2, 2021 @ 9:47 am by David

11 years ago today the 2010 Flood was showing itself. 1 year ago tomorrow, the derecho.

For the next two nights you’ll need to have your NOAA weather radio and Wake Me Up app (StormWatchPlus) ready. You’ll need them tonight and Monday night. read more

Monday Night Severe Weather Concerns.

Posted on Saturday, May 1, 2021 @ 9:01 amSaturday, May 1, 2021 @ 9:01 am by David

No rain today.

Rain Sunday. Not enough to cancel plans but if you’re outside all day you’ll get wet.

Light rain arrives around lunchtime/Nashville SC kickoff. Then more light rain later Sunday afternoon. See below HRRR model. Some models have it earlier, others later than that. read more

Thursday Rain Meh. Storm SZN Quiet.

Posted on Sunday, April 25, 2021 @ 10:46 amSunday, April 25, 2021 @ 10:46 am by David

Yes that’s 85° Tuesday. Smooth feet.

“they paid me for my feet” ®️ https://t.co/70RfSUw5Lj
— Chad Johnson (@ochocinco) April 30, 2020

Not exactly sure when the next rain event will be but general idea is Thursday afternoon/evening.

GFS thinks showers hang out off to our northwest Wednesday and wait, wait, wait, before finally arriving Thursday afternoon. read more

Can We Just, Not? Flash Flood Watch Tuesday Night - Early Thursday Morning.

Posted on Monday, March 29, 2021 @ 9:08 pmMonday, March 29, 2021 @ 9:08 pm by David

Rain will enter Middle Tennessee late Tuesday night.

https://twitter.com/NHLGoalLight/status/1376708977833172993?s=20

The HRRR model thinks the first drops will fall around 7 PM Tuesday night. Then a break in the rain. Then the heaviest rain arrives Wednesday, probably after midnight Tuesday night through sunrise Wednesday morning. The HRRR model (right now, at least, see below) thinks that heaviest rain goes just southeast of Davidson and Williamson Counties: read more

Flash Flooding, Large Hail, Damaging Straight Line Winds, and Tornado Risks, Timing Today & Tonight.

Posted on Saturday, March 27, 2021 @ 6:40 amSaturday, March 27, 2021 @ 10:12 am by David

As I write this Andrew is on YouTube Live covering two Severe Thunderstorm Warnings. Will is on the tweeter, tweeting about them. These are hail storms. Lightning frequent and intense. Severe straight line winds are possible but there is no reason for early morning tornado concerns. read more

Saturday Storms. The Worst Two Act Screenplay In Town.

Posted on Friday, March 26, 2021 @ 9:10 pmFriday, March 26, 2021 @ 9:10 pm by David

Act 1

Nashville. Williamson County. Saturday morning. A weary community awakes.

A warm front arrives. Behind it, a waterlogged atmosphere.

HRRR Model

7 AM, rain begins. Will Co first. First rain drops south of I-40. Soon the tattered rain curtain covers both counties. read more

Next Rain (Storms?) Event Mid-Next Week.

Posted on Friday, March 19, 2021 @ 9:57 amFriday, March 19, 2021 @ 9:57 am by David

Chilly (maybe sprinkly at times) today until clouds clear. Image below from 9:21 AM. Clearing line may not arrive until late this afternoon. Therefore only 54°. Cold north wind.