Winds up to 30 MPH today. Humidity May-typical, Sticky/Extra Deodorant Swipe range today and Saturday:

Sweaty / Boaty today and Saturday, hot under that cap and gown:

Rain/Storms may sneak in here Saturday late afternoon – early evening. 12z HRRR thinks so: read more

The morning weather balloon showed our atmosphere r-e-a-d-y to storm but our hero Ned is there, capping us off, preventing it all from happening. Hold on, Ned!

Models think it won’t storm today. HRRR shows a storm complex running north of us right along the Ohio River today: read more

Models disagree about today. It’s causing forecast headaches.

The HRRR model has storms missing you today and tonight.

The Euro has storms coming in here late afternoon/early tonight.

Which is “right?” Great question! Who knows? When “reliable” tools contradict the lesson isn’t “pick one,” it’s “we don’t really know.” read more

Hot with low humidity (under 55°!) today. Fantastic!

Let’s talk Wednesday.

Dewpoint up to the mid 60°s by late Weds afternoon and staying there through Thursday. #schweddy

More moisture and yeah, we’ll be set up for storms. But will they actually happen, maybe/probably not. read more

Nothing happening until maybe Wednesday when the dewpoint will jump above 60° . . .

. . . and it may rain, or worse.

Y’all been tweeting us about a Sting concert Weds night.

NAM3 has rain/storms around Weds and real talk immabit nervous for y’all, but this model at this range isn’t the best: read more

What: weakening storms, probs just rain. When: early evening/before midnight. Where: coming from the west and weakening along the way. Hazards: if it’s storm and not rain then lightning, low probability straight line winds, hail; no tornado concern. Confidence level: I’m always nervous on these days saying it won’t rain this afternoon but here we are. Why: this is not a theology blog. Discussion: keep reading. read more

• It’s getting hot. Wed – Thu may approach record daily high temps for May 11 and 12. Current forecast a few degrees below the records. Mow today, stay cool tomorrow.

• Humidity mid/upper 50°s except for Tuesday afternoon/evening when it gets to Sticky territory.

• Yesterday I wrote no rain until maybe Sat but now a few models show isolated showers Weds. NWS not yet ready to say yeah it may rain Weds. They’re waiting to see if more data trends that way.
• Still think next best rain chance maybe random pop ups Saturday afternoon, more likely Sunday with a weaksauce cold front passing thru. Model data reliability isn’t great rn, too low res for “will my event be impacted” questions which we can answer if you would like guesses and/or lies.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
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Live coverage during tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings:

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This GIF this works today.

Momjeans not ideal Tuesday when the dewpoint gets into the low 60°s Tuesday with an afternoon high 88°.

91° Wednesday would break the May 11 daily record (90°) set all the way back in 2016. read more

Moist, unstable, storm powering air will lift north into Middle Tennessee this afternoon:

Storms approaching from the west will tap this power source. Heavy rain, lightning, and severe weather are all possible later this afternoon into the early evening. read more