Few sprinkles possible here and there this weekend, but not looking like any rainouts.
High temps stuck in the 60s thru Monday, around average for this time of the year. We’ll quickly get back into the 70s by early next week.
Calm and Cool Weekend, Warming Back Up Next Week
Rain, lightning ongoing. No severe concerns.
“Cooler” + Mostly Dry Weekend.
Maybe a few sprinkles this evening, but nothing more. A little chill as the sun goes down as temps will make it down to around 50° tonight.
Maybe a stray shower or two Saturday morning, but that’ll be it as we are left with a dry rest of the day. Highs only making it to the mid 60s.
Sunday is the coolest day of the upcoming forecast, with some light rain possible in the morning. Doesn’t look like a rainout tho.
HRRR model (above) shows some light, NBD showers quickly moving in and out early Sunday morning.
Monday will be a nice sunny start to the week with highs in the upper 60s.
"A weak front will bring a small chance
for showers late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The next significant
rain chance will come late in the week. It looks like an active,
stormy pattern may form for next weekend." - NWS Nashville AFD
I’m encouraged by the latest HRRR model run, which keeps storms pretty isolated/scattered through the night rather than a big line of angry storms. I’m not betting the house on this, but my anxiety level is pretty low. Loop through noon Friday.
Severe warned storm to our north is moving away from us, but lightning still an issue near these storms. If you hear thunder, you’re in range of being struck by lightning. Penny-size hail reported a bit ago in this storm. We’ve been spared by this one. 7:19 pm
New severe thunderstorm warning for the storm NW of Joelton. We are EXCLUDED from this warning.
The cell clipping us on the NW side has gotten pretty impressive. Hail a good possibility. Possibly decent size hail. Watching it closely. Coopertown Rd area, heads up.
40 mph winds and pea-size hail possible inside the white polygon (Joelton) if this cell holds together, per NWS.
Little cell is tryyying to get going in E Brentwood. Watching it aloft to see if it starts gathering a bunch of water up there. Might get rain soon inside the circle.
The winds aloft are trying to push this storm into Nashville, but there’s a carrot on a stick pulling the horse’s head toward the left as it follows a good lift source just ahead of the storm. So…the strongest part of the storm will stay near that lift source and tend to be on the north side. Should miss downtown Nashville. Might even miss Joelton. We’ll see. Lightning still an issue with this storm. 6:18 pm
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