We’ll have a small break from the crazy weather for the rest of today and Tuesday.
Two main concerns we’ll be watching for the remainder of the week – severe weather and flooding. Both deserve attention.
Conditional Severe Weather Threat Wednesday & Thursday, Flooding Potential Wednesday – Sunday
Damaging Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Hail Possible This Afternoon Thru Early Monday Morning, Again on Wednesday/Thursday; Flooding Potential Late This Week
Please stay weather aware thru early Monday morning.
We are continuing to watch the threat for severe weather from late this afternoon thru early Monday morning.
The Storm Prediction Center has us outlooked with the following probabilities of ‘x’ within 25 miles:
Damaging Straight-Line Winds, Hail, and Tornadoes All Possible Overnight Sunday and Wednesday; Potential Flooding Concerns Late Next Week
Scattered rain will continue to move thru the area for the remainder of today (Saturday). Rain gear a good idea as you walk out the door for your evening plans.
You can check the radar anytime on our website here: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather
Severe Weather Increasingly Likely Sunday Evening into Early Monday Morning, Additional Chances on Wednesday
Showers and non-severe storms will be possible Saturday (50-60%), especially during the second half of the day.
HRRR model gives a guess below, looping thru Sat. morning thru the end of the day. Rain gear not a bad idea for any afternoon/evening plans.
All Modes of Severe Weather Possible Sunday PM, Rain/Non-Severe Storms Possible Saturday
Friday gives us one last day of nice weather until our relatively active weekend. Some of us may reach 80°.
Saturday looks rainy at times, especially the second half of the day. No severe weather expected.
Still Plenty of Questions Surrounding Sunday’s Severe Weather Potential
Besides the low chance (~10-15%) of a quick shower Thursday and/or Friday afternoon, we have a dry + warm remainder of the work week.
Turning our attention to the weekend – not to be mistaken for The Weeknd.
Keeping an Eye on Strong to Severe Storm Potential Sunday, Rain Possible Saturday
Besides maybe a quick shower Thursday afternoon (although these chances are low, ~15%), the rest of the work week does indeed look dry. Warm temps as well.
And like clockwork, our rain chances go up as soon as the weekend comes.
It’s Definitely Spring – Warm Week Ahead & Watching Sunday’s Storm Potential
Work week looks great weather-wise.
Temps near norm to slightly above norm, no rain chances.
Saturday currently has some low (~30%) rain chances but not expecting severe storms. Too far out to know if your outdoor plans will be affected.
Damaging Straight-Line Winds and Hail Possible This Evening, Very Low-End Tornado Threat
We are still outlooked by the Storm Prediction Center with the following probabilities within 25 miles:
- 15% chance of damaging straight-line winds (58 mph+)
- 15% chance of hail (1″+ in diameter)
- 2% chance of a tornado
Rainfall totals only around 1″, so no flooding issues expected.
Timing:
Latest HRRR model thinks majority of the activity will be during the 6-8p timeframe. This could be off by an hour or so.
Storms Likely Sunday Evening, Low Chance of Damaging Straight-Line Winds/Hail, Very Low Chance of a Tornado
Any outdoor plans now thru midday Sunday look great. Warm temps + dry.
While storms are likely Sunday evening, most of them are expected to stay behaved. But a few may be worth keeping an eye on.
The Storm Prediction Center has our counties outlooked with a:
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